Match Info

League Two - Round 46

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Highbury Stadium (Fleetwood)

Referee: Parkinson S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Fleetwood Town		Milton Keynes Dons

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.8	1.79	Watch
	3.9	3.5	1.88
	3.95	3.7	1.82	Watch
	3.8	3.87	1.87
	3.71	3.55	1.91	Watch
	3.6	3.5	1.85
	3.88	3.72	1.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.81 ↑ (3.4)	3.66 ↑ (3.66)	1.85 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fleetwood Town
24.4%

Draw
25.4%

Milton Keynes Dons
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

25.9%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

25.6%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Fleetwood Town - Milton Keynes Dons Predictions

Users Predictions: Milton Keynes Dons will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Lynch J. (G) 18. Holgate H. 4. Bolton J. 5. Potter F. 20. Neal H. 16. Ennis E. 6. Bonds E. (C) 10. Helm M. 22. Powell J. 19. Coughlan R. 9. Davies W.	1. MacGillivray C. (G) 21. Ekpiteta M. 25. Nelson C. 32. Sanders J. 6. Kelly L. 2. Jones G. 26. Wiles B. 8. Gilbey A. (C) 14. Tomlinson J. 11. Mendez-Laing N. 13. Paterson C.
Substitutes
39. Cirino R. 29. Devonport O. 37. Hewitson L. (G) 38. McLean C. 23. Morrison G. 7. Osong D. E. 8. Virtue-Thick M.	10. Collins A. 7. Crowley D. 29. Hepburn-Murphy R. 24. Lemonheigh-Evans C. 16. Nemane A. 15. Offord L. 27. Trueman C. (G)
Coaches
Lawlor M.	Warne P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 1 - 0, Coughlan R. ⚽, Bolton J. (A),
37', 1 - 1, Paterson C. ⚽, Wiles B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Jones G. ↓, Nemane A. ↑,
61', Mendez-Laing N. ↓, Hepburn-Murphy R. ↑,
67', Nelson C. ↓, Collins A. ↑,
74', Bolton J. ↓, Cirino R. ↑,
82', Kelly L. ↓, Crowley D. ↑,
82', Sanders J. ↓, Offord L. ↑,
82', Davies W. ↓, Devonport O. ↑,
83', Helm M. ↓, McLean C. ↑,
90', Coughlan R. ↓, Morrison G. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).

MK Dons is Qualified for League One

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fleetwood won 4.

Fleetwood has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

MK Dons is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, MK Dons is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Fleetwood: Hume D. (Head Injury) McCann L. (Injury)

There will not play in MK Dons: Wilson K. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Fleetwood: Mullarkey T. (Inactive)

There are questionable in MK Dons: Collar W. (Hamstring Injury) Maguire L. (Inactive) Matete J. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Fleetwood won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:25. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Fleetwood won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Fleetwood	9	2	4	3	9:10	-1	10

Last Results with these Odds

Milton Keynes Dons - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 46.14%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fleetwood Town
English League Two
25.04.26	Shrewsbury Town - Fleetwood Town	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	Fleetwood Town - Chesterfield	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Accrington Stanley - Fleetwood Town	1:2 ✺
06.04.26	Fleetwood Town - Barnet	2:5 ✺
03.04.26	Bristol Rovers - Fleetwood Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTWLL
- Milton Keynes Dons
English League Two
25.04.26	Milton Keynes Dons - Tranmere Rovers	3:0 ✺
18.04.26	Crewe Alexandra - Milton Keynes Dons	1:3 ✺
11.04.26	Milton Keynes Dons - Bromley	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Oldham Athletic - Milton Keynes Dons	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Milton Keynes Dons - Barrow	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
29.11.25	Milton Keynes Dons - Fleetwood Town	2:1
29.03.25	Milton Keynes Dons - Fleetwood Town	2:4
21.01.25	Fleetwood Town - Milton Keynes Dons	2:1
English League One
22.04.23	Fleetwood Town - Milton Keynes Dons	1:0
10.12.22	Milton Keynes Dons - Fleetwood Town	1:2
08.02.22	Fleetwood Town - Milton Keynes Dons	1:1
28.09.21	Milton Keynes Dons - Fleetwood Town	3:3

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