Match Info

Date: 15 December 2020, Tuesday


	Morecambe		Leyton Orient

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.3	3
	2.35	3.25	2.95
	2.4	3.3	2.95
	2.37	3.15	2.95
	2.48	3.37	3.05
	2.38	3.2	2.9
	2.48	3.42	3.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.68)	3.28 ↓ (3.33)	2.98 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morecambe
39.3%

Draw
28.8%

Leyton Orient
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

28.4%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

21.7%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Morecambe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+15.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leyton Orient could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Morecambe - Leyton Orient Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 7 in the zone Promotion to League Two (Play Offs)).

Morecambe has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (8%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Leyton Orient has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (31%), has a chance of promoted (22%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Leyton Orient could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Morecambe won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morecambe
English League Two
12.12.20	Morecambe - Harrogate Town	1:0 ✺
05.12.20	Newport County - Morecambe	2:1 ✺
01.12.20	Morecambe - Barrow	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
28.11.20	Morecambe - Solihull Moors	4:2 ET ✺
English League Two
24.11.20	Salford City - Morecambe	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWWL
- Leyton Orient
English League Two
12.12.20	Leyton Orient - Newport County	2:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
08.12.20	Leyton Orient - Bristol Rovers	1:2 ✺
English League Two
05.12.20	Scunthorpe United - Leyton Orient	2:0 ✺
28.11.20	Port Vale - Leyton Orient	2:3 ✺
24.11.20	Leyton Orient - Bradford City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
02.11.19	Morecambe - Leyton Orient	1:0
07.02.17	Leyton Orient - Morecambe	0:1
03.09.16	Morecambe - Leyton Orient	1:2
19.03.16	Leyton Orient - Morecambe	1:0
24.10.15	Morecambe - Leyton Orient	0:1

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