The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Port Vale 44.9%
Draw 27.4%
Leyton Orient 27.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.9%
26.8%
31.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.4%
26.5%
30.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
35.7%
35.7%
28.6%
Port Vale - Leyton Orient Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Leyton Orient will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Port Vale: 10.6% – 60.8%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Port Vale (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Leyton Orient (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Marosi M. (G) 5. Hall C. 4. Heneghan B. 25. Humphreys C. 24. Kyle John 18. Croasdale R. 7. Byers G. (C) 12. Walters R. 3. Headley J. 36. Faal M. 44. Cole D.
33. Cahill K. (G) 14. Craig M. 19. Beckles O. (C) 5. Happe D. 2. James T. 21. Moorhouse J. 8. El Mizouni I. 17. Koroma J. 10. Connolly A. 7. O'Neill O. 32. Ballard D.
Substitutes
13. Amos B. (G) 10. Brown D. 2. Clark M. 11. Curtis R. 15. Gordon L. 14. Ojo F. 17. Paton R.
28. Clare S. 18. Edmonds-Green R. 11. Mitchell D. 20. Perkins S. 26. Phillips N. (G) 4. Simpson J. 25. Wellens C.
Coaches
Moore D.
Wellens R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 1 - 0, Croasdale R. ⚽, Cole D. (A),
9', Hall C. 🟨,
13', 1 - 1, Connolly A. ⚽,
44', 1 - 2, Ballard D. ⚽, Koroma J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Faal M. ↓, Paton R. ↑,
46', Byers G. ↓, Ojo F. ↑,
52', 2 - 2, Cole D. ⚽,
53', Beckles O. 🟨,
59', James T. ↓, Edmonds-Green R. ↑,
59', Beckles O. ↓, Simpson J. ↑,
64', O'Neill O. 🟨,
69', O'Neill O. ↓, Mitchell D. ↑,
69', Moorhouse J. ↓, Clare S. ↑,
70', Cole D. ↓, Brown D. ↑,
76', Headley J. ↓, Gordon L. ↑,
78', Kyle John ↓, Clark M. ↑,
79', Ballard D. ↓, Wellens C. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,
90+4', Clare S. 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 3, Wellens C. ⚽, Koroma J. (A),
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Leyton Orient may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Port Vale is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Port Vale: Amos B.
(Muscle Injury)
Stockley J.
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Leyton Orient: Archibald T.
(Knee Injury)
Graham J.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Leyton Orient: Obiero Z.
(Knee Injury)
Wellens C.
(Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.3:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Leyton Orient - the odds 3.02 are the expected chance of winning is 31.32%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
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Marosi M. (G) 
Hall C. 
Byers G. (C) 
Faal M. 
Cahill K. (G) 
Beckles O. (C) 
James T. 
El Mizouni I. 
Koroma J. 
Brown D. 
Gordon L. 
Ojo F. 
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