Match Info

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 23

Date: 29 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Peninsula Stadium (Salford)

Referee: Baines D. (Eng)


	Salford City		Morecambe

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.9	5.25
	1.62	3.9	5
	1.63	4	5	Watch
	1.7	3.81	4.7
	1.62	3.88	5.28	Watch
	1.65	3.8	5.5
	1.62	3.95	5.11	Watch
	1.63	4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.82)	3.91 ↑ (3.62)	5.11 ↑ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salford City
57.5%

Draw
24.1%

Morecambe
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

25.5%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

24.7%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Salford City's performance.

Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Morecambe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	0%	15.4%

Salford City - Morecambe Predictions

Users Predictions: Salford City will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Young M. (G) 16. Tilt C. (C) 32. Shephard L. 29. Garbutt L. 11. Taylor J. 4. Ashley O. 7. Watson R. 22. Luamba J. 27. Kouassi K. 9. Stockton C. 31. Adelakun H.	1. Burgoyne H. (G) 2. Hendrie L. 14. Williams R. 6. Stott J. 23. Tutonda D. 18. Tollitt B. 4. White T. 24. Songo'o Y. (C) 28. Jones C. 7. Edwards G. 11. Slew J.
Substitutes
3. Berkoe K. 2. Edwards T. 1. Jones J. (G) 8. Lund M. 23. Malcolm K. 18. McAleny C. 5. Negru S.	12. Harrack K. 9. Hope H. 3. Lewis A. 22. Millen R. 21. Scales A. (G) 5. Taylor M.
Coaches
Robinson K.	Adams D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Williams R. 🟨,
45+1', Ashley O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Luamba J. ↓, Lund M. ↑,
47', 1 - 0, Lund M. ⚽,
67', Watson R. ↓, McAleny C. ↑,
67', White T. ↓, Hope H. ↑,
74', Slew J. ↓, Lewis A. ↑,
76', Taylor J. ↓, Negru S. ↑,
90+3', Edwards G. ↓, Taylor M. ↑,
90+3', Stockton C. ↓, Berkoe K. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 9 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Salford won 3.

Salford is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Morecambe is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Salford is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Salford to win the game is with odds 1.64.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Salford won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:7 (average 1.7:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Salford won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:2 (average 2.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salford City
English League Two
26.12.24	Salford City - Barrow	3:0 ✺
21.12.24	Accrington Stanley - Salford City	0:2 ✺
14.12.24	Salford City - Notts County	3:0 ✺
07.12.24	Gillingham - Salford City	1:0 ✺
03.12.24	Salford City - Harrogate Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWLW
- Morecambe
English League Two
26.12.24	Carlisle United - Morecambe	0:1 ✺
21.12.24	Morecambe - Bromley	0:2 ✺
14.12.24	Cheltenham Town - Morecambe	2:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.12.24	Morecambe - Lincoln City	0:1 ✺
English League Two
07.12.24	Morecambe - Grimsby Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
17.03.24	Salford City - Morecambe	3:1
02.09.23	Morecambe - Salford City	1:0
23.02.21	Morecambe - Salford City	2:1
24.11.20	Salford City - Morecambe	2:1
English EFL Trophy
29.09.20	Salford City - Morecambe	2:0
English League Two
07.09.19	Morecambe - Salford City	2:2

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