Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 16

Date: 13 January 2023, Friday

Location: Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas (Moreira de Conegos)

Referee: Costa Teixeira Afonso J. P. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Moreirense		Mafra

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.5	3.5
	1.82	3.4	3.7
	1.76	3.7	3.85
	1.91	3.55	3.65
	1.9	3.85	4.02
	1.85	3.3	3.75
	1.82	3.64	3.8
	1.88	3.45	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.77)	3.55 ↑ (3.27)	3.73 ↓ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moreirense
49.6%

Draw
25.8%

Mafra
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

27.7%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

27.4%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moreirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Mafra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.6%	3.1%	6.2%

Moreirense - Mafra Predictions

Users Predictions: Moreirense will win (29 of 32 users predict this - 90.63%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.53% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 12).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Moreirense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Moreirense have a series of home games.

In this match Moreirense is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Moreirense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Moreirense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moreirense FC
Portuguese Liga 2
05.01.23	Leixões - Moreirense	0:1 ✺
31.12.22	Moreirense - Estrela da Amadora	0:0 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
22.12.22	Moreirense - Arouca	1:2 ✺
17.12.22	Moreirense - Benfica	1:1 ✺
27.11.22	Moreirense - Estrela da Amadora	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WTLTW
- CD Mafra
Portuguese Liga 2
07.01.23	Mafra - BSAD	0:1 ✺
23.12.22	Vilafranquense - Mafra	3:3 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
16.12.22	Chaves - Mafra	1:2 ✺
05.12.22	Mafra - Vizela	1:1 ✺
25.11.22	Porto - Mafra	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.4 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Taça de Portugal
23.12.21	Mafra - Moreirense	3:1
24.11.19	Moreirense - Mafra	1:3

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