Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NPL QUEENSLAND - ROUND 16

Date: 8 July 2023, Saturday


	Moreton Bay United		Gold Coast United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.75	2.75
	2.1	3.75	2.6
	2.18	4.12	2.81
	2.15	3.5	2.75
	2.13	3.84	2.81	Watch
	2.16	3.65	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.83)	3.77 ↑ (3.6)	2.75 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moreton Bay United
42.5%

Draw
24.2%

Gold Coast United
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

25.1%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

24.8%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moreton Bay United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Moreton Bay United's performance.

Gold Coast United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gold Coast United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreton Bay United than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moreton Bay United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gold Coast United than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gold Coast United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Moreton Bay United - Gold Coast United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Queensland (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Queensland (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Moreton Bay won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Moreton Bay won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 33-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Moreton Bay won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 23-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moreton Bay United
Australian NPL Queensland
24.06.23	Eastern Suburbs - Moreton Bay United	1:4 ✺
17.06.23	Moreton Bay United - Gold Coast Knights	1:1 ✺
11.06.23	Rochedale Rovers - Moreton Bay United	2:1 ✺
02.06.23	Olympic FC - Moreton Bay United	0:5 ✺
20.05.23	Moreton Bay United - Queensland Lions	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTLWL
- Gold Coast United
Australian NPL Queensland
24.06.23	Gold Coast United - Peninsula Power	2:2 ✺
17.06.23	Eastern Suburbs - Gold Coast United	0:3 ✺
10.06.23	Brisbane Roar Youth - Gold Coast United	1:0 ✺
03.06.23	Gold Coast United - Gold Coast Knights	2:2 ✺
21.05.23	Gold Coast United - Brisbane City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Queensland
25.03.23	Gold Coast United - Moreton Bay United	1:0
Club Friendly
28.01.23	Moreton Bay United - Gold Coast United	1:2
Australian NPL Queensland
25.06.22	Moreton Bay United - Gold Coast United	6:0
20.03.22	Gold Coast United - Moreton Bay United	1:1
Club Friendly
12.02.22	Moreton Bay United - Gold Coast United	1:1
Australian NPL Queensland
31.08.21	Gold Coast United - Moreton Bay United	0:1
13.03.21	Moreton Bay United - Gold Coast United	3:1

Moreton Bay United - Gold Coast United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide