Match Info

Date: 18 April 2022, Monday


	Morpeth Town		Scarborough Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.3	2.45
	2.3	3.25	2.75
	2.4	3.36	2.87
	2.33	3.5	2.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.66)	3.35 ↓ (3.6)	2.7 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morpeth Town
38.7%

Draw
27.4%

Scarborough Athletic
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

25.2%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

25%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morpeth Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Scarborough Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Scarborough Athletic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morpeth Town than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scarborough Athletic than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Scarborough Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Morpeth Town - Scarborough Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Scarborough could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Morpeth won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morpeth Town
English NPL Premier Division
16.04.22	Bamber Bridge - Morpeth Town	3:2 ✺
09.04.22	Morpeth Town - United of Manchester	1:0 ✺
05.04.22	Witton Albion - Morpeth Town	3:2 ✺
02.04.22	Matlock Town - Morpeth Town	0:0 ✺
26.03.22	Morpeth Town - Ashton United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLTW
- Scarborough Athletic
English NPL Premier Division
16.04.22	Scarborough Athletic - Gainsborough Trinity	2:0 ✺
09.04.22	Ashton United - Scarborough Athletic	0:0 ✺
02.04.22	Nantwich Town - Scarborough Athletic	2:1 ✺
26.03.22	Scarborough Athletic - Matlock Town	0:0 ✺
19.03.22	Atherton Collieries - Scarborough Athletic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
27.12.21	Scarborough Athletic - Morpeth Town	1:1
26.12.19	Scarborough Athletic - Morpeth Town	1:0

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