Match Info

Date: 19 October 2021, Tuesday


	Morpeth Town		York City

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.75	1.73
	4.5	3.75	1.68
	4.2	3.65	1.68
	4.53	3.75	1.69
	3.75	3.75	1.73
	3.88	3.72	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.1 ↑ (3.8)	3.73 ↓ (3.74)	1.71 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morpeth Town
22.2%

Draw
24.4%

York City
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.9%

24.3%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

15.8%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morpeth Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morpeth Town than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Morpeth Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for York City than the current prediction. (-19.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for York City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Morpeth Town - York City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Replay (1st match was draw). 1st leg result: 1-1.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Morpeth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Morpeth have a series of guest games.

Recently York have a series of home games.

In this match York is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Morpeth won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morpeth Town
English FA Cup
16.10.21	York City - Morpeth Town	1:1 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
12.10.21	South Shields - Morpeth Town	2:0 ✺
09.10.21	Mickleover Sports - Morpeth Town	0:4 ✺
05.10.21	Morpeth Town - Radcliffe	3:1 ✺
English FA Cup
02.10.21	Radcliffe - Morpeth Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 TLWWW
- York City
English FA Cup
16.10.21	York City - Morpeth Town	1:1 ✺
English National League North
09.10.21	York City - Southport	3:1 ✺
English FA Cup
02.10.21	York City - Whitby Town	2:0 ✺
English National League North
28.09.21	York City - Hereford	0:1 ✺
25.09.21	Darlington - York City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
16.10.21	York City - Morpeth Town	1:1

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