Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 11

Date: 14 November 2023, Tuesday


	Morpeth Town		Radcliffe

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.75	1.85
	3.25	3.75	1.9
	3.11	4.13	1.94
	3.11	4.13	1.94
	3.3	3.75	1.83
	3.25	3.85	1.87
	3.25	3.75	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↓ (3.47)	3.87 ↑ (3.75)	1.89 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morpeth Town
28.4%

Draw
23.5%

Radcliffe
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

24.1%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

23.8%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morpeth Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Radcliffe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morpeth Town than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radcliffe than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Morpeth Town - Radcliffe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Morpeth won 3.

Recent matches Morpeth is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Radcliffe is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Morpeth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Morpeth have a series of guest games.

Radcliffe will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Morpeth won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Morpeth won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morpeth Town
English NPL Premier Division
11.11.23	Stafford Rangers - Morpeth Town	0:3 ✺
07.11.23	Worksop Town - Morpeth Town	7:0 ✺
24.10.23	Lancaster City - Morpeth Town	3:2 ✺
21.10.23	Morpeth Town - Macclesfield Town	2:0 ✺
14.10.23	United of Manchester - Morpeth Town	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WLLWW
- Radcliffe FC
English NPL Premier Division
11.11.23	Radcliffe - Gainsborough Trinity	1:0 ✺
04.11.23	Matlock Town - Radcliffe	4:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
28.10.23	United of Manchester - Radcliffe	2:3 penalties ✺
English NPL Premier Division
24.10.23	Radcliffe - Stafford Rangers	3:1 ✺
21.10.23	Ashton United - Radcliffe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
28.01.23	Morpeth Town - Radcliffe	0:1
24.09.22	Radcliffe - Morpeth Town	3:1
19.03.22	Radcliffe - Morpeth Town	1:5
05.10.21	Morpeth Town - Radcliffe	3:1
English FA Cup
02.10.21	Radcliffe - Morpeth Town	1:3
English NPL Premier Division
01.02.20	Morpeth Town - Radcliffe	3:1

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