Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 26

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Mortágua		Eléctrico

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.15	7.3
	1.3	4.75	7.65
	1.38	4.4	7.18	Watch
	1.36	3.9	7
	1.35	4.4	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.45)	4.32 ↑ (4.08)	7.33 ↑ (6.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mortágua
66.8%

Draw
20.9%

Eléctrico
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

22.3%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

21.2%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mortágua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Eléctrico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mortágua than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eléctrico than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Mortágua - Eléctrico Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, ⚽,
10', 1 - 1, ⚽,
42', 🟥,
45+2', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Eléctrico is Relegated to

Recent form of Mortágua has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Eléctrico has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Mortágua is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mortágua won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Mortagua	4	3	1	0	9:4	5	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mortágua FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
12.04.26	Vitória de Sernache - Mortágua	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Mortágua - Os Marialvas	0:2 ✺
29.03.26	Mortágua - Marinhense	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Naval - Mortágua	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Mortágua - Lajense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLWLT
- Eléctrico FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
12.04.26	Eléctrico - Fatima	0:3 ✺
04.04.26	Samora Correia - Eléctrico	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Eléctrico - Peniche	4:2 ✺
15.03.26	Oliveira Hospital - Eléctrico	5:0 ✺
08.03.26	Eléctrico - Marinhense	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
21.12.25	Eléctrico - Mortágua	1:2

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