Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-LIGAEN - ROUND 29

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	Moss		Fredrikstad

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.5	2.2	Watch
	3.2	3.4	2.05
	3.2	3.5	2.15	Watch
	3.23	3.54	2.21
	3.27	3.46	2.22
	3	3.4	2
	3.22	3.52	2.14	Watch
	3.1	3.4	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↓ (3.44)	3.47 ↑ (3.43)	2.14 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moss
29.3%

Draw
27%

Fredrikstad
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

27.3%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

27.2%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moss has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Fredrikstad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moss than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	0%	86.7%

Moss - Fredrikstad Predictions

Users Predictions: Fredrikstad will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ranmark M. (C) 2. Andresen M. 27. Haugli S. 5. Kukleci I. 21. Hoffmann I. 20. Potur A. 6. Makosso K. 15. Hapnes A. 11. Jakobsen T. 14. Braga C. 19. Pedersen S.	1. Jensen H. (G) 6. Aukland P. 26. Nielsen M. 3. Skaret B. 12. Metcalfe P. 7. Hendriksson B. 22. Woledzi M. 16. Konte A. 27. Lassen M. 14. Bjartalid J. (C) 13. Sorlokk S.
Substitutes
12. Bachke E. (G) 10. Hegland B. A. 8. Hellesto V. 28. Iddriss M. 26. Kjeilen Stavdal O. 24. Kubr L. 17. Mendy L. 13. Race H. 29. Stensrud A.	29. Aga O. 11. Alba R. 20. Asheim H. 18. Begby L. 2. Bjorkstrom T. 28. Hermansen I. B. 9. Johansen H. 17. Kvile S. 25. Langbraten O. (G)
Coaches
Myhre T.	Thomassen M.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien).

Fredrikstad is Qualified for Eliteserien

Last 5 head-to-head matches Moss won 2.

Moss is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fredrikstad is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Moss could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Fredrikstad will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Moss won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 10-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Moss won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6-17.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moss FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
29.10.23	Åsane - Moss	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	Moss - Ranheim	0:1 ✺
07.10.23	Sogndal - Moss	2:1 ✺
01.10.23	Moss - Hødd	3:0 ✺
24.09.23	Start - Moss	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLLWT
- Fredrikstad FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
29.10.23	Fredrikstad - Mjøndalen	1:2 ✺
21.10.23	Sandnes Ulf - Fredrikstad	2:3 ✺
08.10.23	Åsane - Fredrikstad	0:4 ✺
01.10.23	Fredrikstad - Raufoss	3:0 ✺
23.09.23	Ranheim - Fredrikstad	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
16.04.23	Fredrikstad - Moss	1:1
Norwegian NM Cup
01.08.21	Moss - Fredrikstad	3:1
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
19.09.20	Moss - Fredrikstad	1:3
Club Friendly
07.03.20	Moss - Fredrikstad	1:4
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
06.10.19	Fredrikstad - Moss	0:1
01.06.19	Moss - Fredrikstad	0:3
12.08.18	Fredrikstad - Moss	3:0

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