Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 29

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Sparebanken Sør Arena (Kristiansand)

Referee: Holthe H. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Start		Moss

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.75	6
	1.43	4.85	6.1	Watch
	1.42	4.73	6.00	Watch
	1.45	4.75	6
	1.38	5	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.42)	4.82 ↑ (4.73)	6.09 ↑ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Start
65.3%

Draw
19.3%

Moss
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.1%

19.5%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

18.9%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Start has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Moss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Start than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moss than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Start - Moss Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Start will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Larsen J. (G) 4. Hansen S. 6. Norheim J. 3. Ujkani A. 13. Griesbeck S. 10. Mvoue S. 14. Soomets M. 18. Ugland M. 21. Sjokvist S. 20. Lorentzen H. 11. Schulze E. (C)	1. Eriksen M. E. (G) 6. Lassen M. 3. Strande K. (C) 4. Harrison K. 23. Barros J. 17. Andersen P. 9. Musbaudeen J. 21. Gronli S. 34. Fuglestad N. 47. Rossi L. 11. Jakobsen T.
Substitutes
9. Adebayo A. 40. Apland N. 30. Gausdal L. 29. Gono E. 27. Jemal E. 15. Nordal M. 2. Palerud F. 24. Strand-Kolbjornsen S. (G) 17. Sundo B.	49. Afonso M. 2. Cassidy M. 15. Engesvik A. A. 46. Kvale W. 19. Memedov A. 5. Race E. 12. Sundling J. (G) 8. Vold Krohg H. 24. Welinder M.
Coaches
Karadas A.	Nesselquist O. M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Griesbeck S. ⚽,
11', Sjokvist S. 🟨,
29', 1 - 1, Rossi L. ⚽, Lassen M. (A),
42', 2 - 1, Ugland M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Andersen P. ↓, Vold Krohg H. ↑,
62', Rossi L. ↓, Engesvik A. A. ↑,
68', Sjokvist S. ↓, Palerud F. ↑,
68', Lorentzen H. ↓, Sundo B. ↑,
72', Musbaudeen J. 🟨,
79', Barros J. ↓, Kvale W. ↑,
79', Jakobsen T. ↓, Afonso M. ↑,
83', Vold Krohg H. 🟨,
87', Ugland M. ↓, Gausdal L. ↑,
87', Musbaudeen J. ↓, Race E. ↑,
90+4', Race E. 🟨,
90+6', Karadas A. 🟥,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 14 in the zone OBOS~ligaen (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Start won 1.

Start has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Moss is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Start is the clear favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Start won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 1.3:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Start won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IK Start
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
25.10.25	Åsane - Start	2:2 ✺
22.10.25	Start - Skeid	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Sogndal - Start	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Start - Raufoss	4:0 ✺
27.09.25	Egersund - Start	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TWTWL
- Moss FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
25.10.25	Moss - Aalesunds	1:1 ✺
22.10.25	Egersund - Moss	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Moss - Kongsvinger	2:4 ✺
05.10.25	Lyn - Moss	4:0 ✺
29.09.25	Moss - Lillestrøm SK	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
31.05.25	Moss - Start	0:3
26.10.24	Start - Moss	1:1
21.05.24	Moss - Start	2:1
24.09.23	Start - Moss	0:0
10.04.23	Moss - Start	0:0
Norwegian NM Cup
29.06.22	Moss - Start	0:3

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