Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 10

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Melløs Stadion (Moss)

Referee: Hafezi M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Moss		Stabæk

	1	X	2
	2.8	4	2.15
	2.82	3.9	2.15	Watch
	2.87	3.99	2.16
	2.8	4.22	2.1	Watch
	2.75	3.6	2.15
	2.82	3.88	2.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.79)	3.93 ↓ (4.14)	2.15 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moss
33.1%

Draw
23.6%

Stabæk
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

22.5%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

22.2%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Stabæk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moss than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stabæk than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Moss - Stabæk Predictions

Users Predictions: Stabæk will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eriksen M. (G) 2. Cassidy M. 3. Strande K. (C) 24. Olofsson W. 16. Kvale W. 18. Marcus R. 14. Musbaudeen J. 21. Gronli S. 20. Semmen N. 9. Aga O. 7. Laegreid J.	22. Ulla M. (G) 2. Riise F. 15. Veum O. 4. Naess N. (C) 29. Ekorness K. 28. Tobiassen B. 7. Solnordal O. 19. Lundemo M. 8. Dahlby M. 9. Sanyang A. 10. Olderheim S.
Substitutes
17. Andersen P. 4. Harrison K. 31. Harveg J. 23. Hermanstad R. 11. Jakobsen T. 22. Ogbole J. 5. Race E. 30. Skott-Grande M. (G) 8. Vold Krohg H.	20. Boesen O. 27. Hansen M. 1. Lokkevik K. (G) 6. Matic A. 18. Oppedal O. 5. Skjelvik J. 23. Wendt W.
Coaches
Nesselquist O. M.	Kjell A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Semmen N. ⚽,
23', 2 - 0, Aga O. ⚽,
25', Sanyang A. ↓, Wendt W. ↑,
29', 2 - 1, Ekorness K. ⚽, Olderheim S. (A),
40', Tobiassen B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Semmen N. ↓, Race E. ↑,
46', Strande K. ↓, Hermanstad R. ↑,
51', 2 - 2, Dahlby M. ⚽, Wendt W. (A),
51', Marcus R. ↓, Andersen P. ↑,
56', Musbaudeen J. 🟨,
60', Musbaudeen J. ↓, Vold Krohg H. ↑,
67', Lundemo M. ↓, Skjelvik J. ↑,
71', Dahlby M. 🟨,
76', Race E. 🟨,
77', 🟨,
78', 🟨,
78', Solnordal O. ↓, Matic A. ↑,
78', Tobiassen B. ↓, Boesen O. ↑,
85', Gronli S. ↓, Jakobsen T. ↑,
90+2', Riise F. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moss won 2.

Moss is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Stabæk is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Stabæk will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Moss won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 2.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Moss won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 2.3:2).

Outrights of Norwegian Adeccoligaen for now

Stabaek: 0.59%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Stabaek	24	14	3	7	57:31	26	45
13	Moss	24	7	4	13	38:54	-16	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moss FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
25.05.26	Haugesund - Moss	3:1 ✺
20.05.26	Moss - Strømsgodset	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	Odd - Moss	2:3 ✺
10.05.26	Moss - Bryne	2:3 ✺
01.05.26	Ranheim - Moss	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LTWLL
- Stabæk Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
25.05.26	Stabæk - Kongsvinger	2:0 ✺
20.05.26	Sogndal - Stabæk	2:2 ✺
16.05.26	Stabæk - Raufoss	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	Sandnes Ulf - Stabæk	0:1 ✺
01.05.26	Lyn - Stabæk	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
29.03.26	Stabæk - Moss	2:0
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
02.08.25	Stabæk - Moss	3:3
27.04.25	Moss - Stabæk	4:2
27.07.24	Stabæk - Moss	1:4
11.05.24	Moss - Stabæk	3:3
Norwegian NM Cup
03.05.18	Moss - Stabæk	0:1 ET

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