Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-ligaen - Round 17

Date: 3 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Melløs Stadion (Moss)

Referee: Kellerhals M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	Direkte Sport, TV2 Play


	Moss		Vålerenga

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.5	2.05
	3.2	3.5	2
	3.25	3.6	2.1	Watch
	3.43	3.55	2.13
	3.41	3.44	2.08
	3.1	3.5	2
	3.28	3.72	2.04	Watch
	3.25	3.6	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↓ (3.32)	3.55 ↓ (3.75)	2.06 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moss
28.6%

Draw
26.3%

Vålerenga
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

25.1%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

24.9%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moss has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Vålerenga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moss than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Moss - Vålerenga Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Moss will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Vålerenga will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ranmark M. (G) 2. Andresen M. 3. Strande K. (C) 5. Kukleci I. 21. Hoffmann I. 20. Potur A. 6. Hapnes A. 31. Harrison K. 49. Afonso M. 10. Hegland B. 11. Jakobsen T.	21. Sjoeng M. (G) 2. Borchgrevink C. (C) 4. Olsen A. 55. Jarl S. 6. Hedenstad V. 8. Bjordal H. 29. Ambina F. 17. Lange C. 25. El Abdellaoui J. 80. Brajanac M. 24. Strand P.
Substitutes
12. Bachke E. (G) 19. Bjorgolfsson E. 18. Elmi S. 8. Hellesto V. 26. Isufi B. 14. Lajqi A. 29. Mayonga K. M. 17. Mendy L. 9. Pedersen S.	31. Bully O. 5. Fasika I. 18. Jukleroed S. 19. Kamara O. 7. Riisnaes M. 9. Rijks M. 22. Sjovold S. 1. Storevik J. (G) 26. Thorvaldsen F.
Coaches
Myhre T.	Bakke G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, El Abdellaoui J. ⚽, Bjordal H. (A),
34', Hapnes A. 🟨,
35', Afonso M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 0 - 2, Hedenstad V. ⚽, Borchgrevink C. (A),
59', Afonso M. ↓, Pedersen S. ↑,
59', Potur A. ↓, Elmi S. ↑,
60', Strande K. 🟨,
74', El Abdellaoui J. ↓, Riisnaes M. ↑,
75', Strande K. ↓, Bjorgolfsson E. ↑,
81', Brajanac M. ↓, Rijks M. ↑,
81', Strand P. ↓, Jukleroed S. ↑,
87', Jakobsen T. ↓, Mayonga K. M. ↑,
89', Lange C. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien).

Moss is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Vålerenga is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Vålerenga will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Moss won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moss FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
27.07.24	Stabæk - Moss	1:4 ✺
20.07.24	Moss - Kongsvinger	1:0 ✺
23.06.24	Åsane - Moss	1:4 ✺
16.06.24	Moss - Bryne	1:0 ✺
09.06.24	Vålerenga - Moss	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WWWWL
- Vålerenga Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
29.07.24	Vålerenga - Ranheim	3:1 ✺
20.07.24	Start - Vålerenga	1:2 ✺
23.06.24	Vålerenga - Sandnes Ulf	8:0 ✺
16.06.24	Egersund - Vålerenga	1:1 ✺
09.06.24	Vålerenga - Moss	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
09.06.24	Vålerenga - Moss	5:1
Club Friendly
17.02.23	Vålerenga - Moss	2:0

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