Match Info

MALTA: Premier League - Second stage - Main - Round 10

Date: 13 March 2025, Thursday

Location: Tony Bezzina Stadium (Paola)

Referee: Zammit F. (Mlt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Mosta		Melita

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.4	2.87
				Watch
	2.34	3.57	2.75
	2.32	3.58	2.65	Watch
	2.38	3.25	2.7
	2.3	3.34	2.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (1.8)	3.43 ↓ (3.66)	2.73 ↓ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mosta
40%

Draw
26.6%

Melita
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

25%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

24.2%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mosta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mosta's form might have worsened.

Melita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Melita's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mosta than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mosta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melita than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Melita, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	18.2%	45.5%

Mosta - Melita Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Mosta will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Melita will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Melita: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Udoh A. (G) 4. Afriyie P. 21. Agius 6. Arthur J. 5. Cachia S. 29. Chiemezie S. 13. Failla C. (C) 10. Giancarlo 31. Joao Teixeira 9. Kone S. 96. Lampsias K.	12. Lubik A. (G) 9. Andre Carlos 6. Attard J. P. (C) 25. Barone G. 11. Borg O. A. 10. Debattista M. 77. Martinez S. 27. Sanchez C. 3. Simanca A. 13. Van de Bovenkamp M. 19. Yepez J.
Substitutes
3. Bolanos M. 15. Cauchi Z. 14. Cutajar M. 8. Eke C. 26. Emmanuel P. 33. Farrugia B. 99. Farrugia J. (G) 18. Fenech K. 11. Perkins L. 7. Scerri J. 19. Zammit T.	17. Abela J. 8. Attard A. 18. Attard E. 5. Cachia M. 20. Cassar B. 22. Gyamfi C. 15. Micallef J. 1. Mizzi G. (G) 7. Mohnani K. 21. Nick Cutajar 23. Testaferrata P. G.
Coaches
Grech J.	Mizzi C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Joao Teixeira 🟨,
27', Lampsias K. ↓, Bolanos M. ↑,
37', Simanca A. 🟨,
42', Debattista M. ↓, Mohnani K. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 1 - 0, Agius ⚽,
57', Agius 🟨,
62', Chiemezie S. ↓, Emmanuel P. ↑,
62', Yepez J. ↓, Gyamfi C. ↑,
78', Borg O. A. ↓, Nick Cutajar ↑,
78', Van de Bovenkamp M. ↓, Testaferrata P. G. ↑,
81', 2 - 0, Giancarlo ⚽,
84', Kone S. ↓, Scerri J. ↑,
84', Agius ↓, Eke C. ↑,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: ) and 10 in the zone Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: )).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Melita could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Mosta have a series of guest games.

Recently Melita have a series of home games.

Mosta will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mosta won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 2.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mosta FC
Maltese Premier League
09.03.25	Hamrun Spartans - Mosta	1:2 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
05.03.25	Floriana - Mosta	2:0 ✺
Maltese Premier League
02.03.25	Floriana - Mosta	2:2 ✺
23.02.25	Paola Hibernians - Mosta	2:0 ✺
14.02.25	Mosta - Marsaxlokk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.4 WLTLW
- Melita FC
Maltese Premier League
08.03.25	Melita - Żabbar St. Patrick	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Balzan - Melita	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Melita - Naxxar Lions	2:5 ✺
16.02.25	Melita - Hamrun Spartans	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	Melita - Sliema Wanderers	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.5 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
02.11.24	Melita - Mosta	1:2
Maltese FA Trophy
15.01.23	Melita - Mosta	0:3

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