The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Moto Club de São Luís 29.3%
Draw 27.9%
Vitória Salvador 42.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.2%
26.1%
53.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.5%
27%
55.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moto Club de São Luís has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Moto Club de São Luís's performance.
Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vitória Salvador might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moto Club de São Luís than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moto Club de São Luís that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+12.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitória Salvador could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
88.9%
11.1%
0%
Moto Club de São Luís - Vitória Salvador Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Moto Club will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Moto Club: 68.4% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Allan Thiago (G) 2. Bal 8. Felipe Dias 10. Hadrian 9. Jean 4. Luis Fernando 11. Luis Gustavo 5. Pedro Dias (C) 7. Vitinho 6. Wadson 3. Yan
35. Fintelman (G) 37. Bruno Xavier 13. Camutanga 99. Carlinhos 96. Carlos Eduardo 26. Edenilson 16. Hugo 18. Kauan 11. Osvaldo (C) 50. Papaterra 17. Thiaguinho
Substitutes
20. Dos Anjos 12. Douglas Henrique (G) 16. Gustavo Rodrigues 13. Ian Couto 21. Luis Lipek 22. Paulinho 15. Richard 19. Rick Sena 24. Vanilton (G) 14. Vitor Carvalho 17. Wesley 18. Willyan Bolinha
42. Barbosa D. (G) 23. Fabricio 76. Felipe Cardoso 52. Gean. 53. Kauan V. 47. Marquinhos. 55. Oliveira da Silva F. E. 57. Pedro. 56. Welber
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Yan ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Carlinhos ⚽,
44', Papaterra 🟨,
45+5', Bruno Xavier 🟨,
45+5', Yan 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Felipe Dias 🟨,
58', Edenilson ↓, Gean ↑,
58', Bruno Xavier ↓, Fabricio ↑,
62', Hadrian ↓, Wesley ↑,
67', Bal ↓, Rick Sena ↑,
78', Luis Fernando 🟨,
79', Kauan 🟨,
80', Richard 🟨,
89', Carlos Eduardo ↓, Marcos Cabrobo ↑,
90+2', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Vitória is Qualified for Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Moto Club is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Vitória is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Moto Club could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Vitória have a series of home games.
In this match Vitória is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Moto Club won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Moto Club won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0
Brazil
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Allan Thiago (G) 
Papaterra 
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