Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 13

Date: 29 October 2023, Sunday


	Motor Lublin		Odra Opole

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	2.63
	2.45	3.2	2.65
	2.55	3.25	2.7	Watch
	2.43	3.25	2.52
	2.64	3.18	2.85
	2.45	3.2	2.6
	2.5	3.26	2.68	Watch
	2.6	3.2	2.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.53)	3.22 ↓ (3.29)	2.66 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Motor Lublin
36.7%

Draw
28.6%

Odra Opole
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

28%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

27.4%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Odra Opole has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Odra Opole than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	62.5%	12.5%

Motor Lublin - Odra Opole Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Motor will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Odra Opole will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
53. Budzilek L. (G) 68. Wolski B. 21. Rudol S. 18. Najemski A. 47. Palacz K. 55. Gasior M. 10. Krol R. (C) 77. Ceglarz P. 7. Rybicki M. 9. Zebrakowski M. 17. Wojcik F.	30. Haluch A. (G) 2. Zemlo P. 3. Piroch J. 27. Kaminski M. (C) 24. Szrek J. 5. Niziolek R. 13. Purzycki A. 98. Sula D. 77. Galan B. 25. Antczak J. 9. Mikinic T.
Substitutes
11. Kaminski D. 26. Krol M. 24. Luberecki F. 1. Rosa K. (G) 37. Scalet M. 99. Spiewak K. 4. Szarek P. 19. Welniak K. 22. Wojtkowski K.	1. Burta J. (G) 11. Czaplinski D. 10. Hebel M. 8. Kaminski W. 29. Surzyn M. 16. Urbanczyk M. 17. Walis P.
Coaches
Feio G.	Nocon A.

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa).

Motor is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Odra Opole is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Odra Opole could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Motor Lublin
Polish Division 1
20.10.23	Chrobry Głogów - Motor Lublin	0:1 ✺
08.10.23	Motor Lublin - Miedź Legnica	1:3 ✺
29.09.23	Arka Gdynia - Motor Lublin	2:0 ✺
Polish Cup
26.09.23	Motor Lublin - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
23.09.23	Motor Lublin - Wisła Kraków	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 WLLLL
- Odra Opole
Polish Division 1
22.10.23	Odra Opole - Termalica Nieciecza	2:1 ✺
06.10.23	Chrobry Głogów - Odra Opole	0:0 ✺
30.09.23	Odra Opole - GKS Katowice	1:0 ✺
Polish Cup
26.09.23	Odra Opole - Stal Mielec	1:2 ✺
Polish Division 1
22.09.23	Miedź Legnica - Odra Opole	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WTWLW

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