Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 6

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Motor Lublin Arena (Lublin)

Referee: Arys K. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5P
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	Arena Sport 4
Germany	Laola1
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Motor Lublin		Piast Gliwice

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	2.88	Watch
	2.25	3.50	2.87
	2.25	3.4	2.85
	2.31	3.65	3.09
	2.3	3.61	2.99	Watch
	2.2	3.55	3
	2.22	3.58	2.91	Watch
	2.27	3.45	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.38)	3.52 ↓ (3.53)	2.93 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Motor Lublin
41.5%

Draw
26.6%

Piast Gliwice
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

26.9%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

27.4%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Piast Gliwice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Motor Lublin - Piast Gliwice Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Motor will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Motor (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Motor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Tratnik G. (G) 29. Santos T. 18. Bereszynski B. 39. Bartos M. 24. Luberecki F. 2. Meyer P. 30. Ndiaye M. 8. Kikis 7. Rodrigues I. 70. Aiko M. 10. Czubak K. (C)	75. Gril D. (G) 99. Twumasi E. 5. Juande 4. Czerwinski J. (C) 36. Lewicki J. 90. Lima I. 27. Labojko J. 17. Boisgard Q. 80. Vallejo H. 19. Ntamack S. 11. Sanca L.
Substitutes
5. Akatov A. 13. Brzozowski K. 11. Fabio Ronaldo 90. Gregorski D. 23. Haxha F. 6. Legowski M. 16. Lewandowski F. 17. Lukoszek K. 4. Plavotic T. 71. Popa M. (G) 19. Szymanek K.	28. Borowski F. 7. Felix J. 3. Fikaj E. 47. Grelich J. (G) 10. Katsantonis A. 91. Kucharski M. 31. Lesniak O. 98. Lokilo J. 18. Maziarz O. 12. Mendes-Dudzinski M. (G) 77. Mucha S. 15. Pitan L.
Coaches
Misiura M.	Mysliwiec D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Boisgard Q. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
62', Aiko M. ↓, Fabio Ronaldo ↑,
62', Kikis ↓, Legowski M. ↑,
65', Labojko J. ↓, Lesniak O. ↑,
72', Santos T. ↓, Lukoszek K. ↑,
78', 0 - 1, Juande ⚽,
82', Rodrigues I. ↓, Haxha F. ↑,
83', Vallejo H. ↓, Felix J. ↑,
84', Ntamack S. ↓, Katsantonis A. ↑,
84', Boisgard Q. ↓, Maziarz O. ↑,
90+1', Lima I. ↓, Mucha S. ↑,
90+2', 0 - 2, Mucha S. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 14)

Recent performances by Motor have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Piast has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Motor: Plichta K. (Inactive)

There will not play in Piast: Plach F. (Knee Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Motor won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Motor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Piast Gliwice: 1.3% Motor Lublin: 0.41%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Piast Gliwice	9	4	1	4	16:15	1	13
16	Motor Lublin	9	1	3	5	9:15	-6	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Motor Lublin
Polish Ekstraklasa
22.08.26	Korona Kielce - Motor Lublin	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	Motor Lublin - GKS Katowice	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Motor Lublin	3:1 ✺
31.07.26	Motor Lublin - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:2 ✺
26.07.26	Widzew Łódź - Motor Lublin	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TWLLT
- Piast Gliwice
Polish Ekstraklasa
22.08.26	Piast Gliwice - Legia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Piast Gliwice - Wieczysta Kraków	3:4 ✺
09.08.26	Lech Poznań - Piast Gliwice	3:0 ✺
01.08.26	Piast Gliwice - Wisła Kraków	4:3 ✺
27.07.26	Zagłębie Lubin - Piast Gliwice	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
20.02.26	Piast Gliwice - Motor Lublin	1:2
16.08.25	Motor Lublin - Piast Gliwice	0:0
09.05.25	Motor Lublin - Piast Gliwice	1:4
08.11.24	Piast Gliwice - Motor Lublin	2:3

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