Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 9

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Arena Lublin (Lublin)

Referee: Kwiatkowski T. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport Extra


	Motor Lublin		Wisła Kraków

	1	X	2
	3	3.5	2.1
	3.25	3.5	2.1	Watch
	3.32	3.61	2.14
	3.1	3.1	2.15
	3.22	3.5	2.07
	3.55	3.55	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↓ (3.76)	3.46 ↑ (3.3)	2.09 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Motor Lublin
28.7%

Draw
26.8%

Wisła Kraków
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

27.4%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

25.9%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Wisła Kraków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Kraków than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Motor Lublin - Wisła Kraków Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Motor will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Wisła will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
53. Budzilek L. (G) 17. Wojcik F. 24. Luberecki F. 18. Najemski A. 21. Rudol S. 55. Gasior M. 22. Wojtkowski K. 68. Wolski B. 26. Krol M. 19. Welniak K. 77. Ceglarz P. (C)	93. Raton A. (G) 25. Jaroch B. 5. Colley J. 6. Uryga A. (C) 28. Junca D. 22. Goku 8. Carbo M. 41. Duda K. 10. Miki 9. Rodado A. 17. Alfaro J.
Substitutes
13. Kosior M. 10. Krol R. 73. Lis J. 47. Palacz K. 8. Romanowski P. 1. Rosa K. (G) 7. Rybicki M. 20. Sedzikowski D. 99. Spiewak K.	77. Baena Perez A. 66. Basha V. 31. Bieganski M. (G) 52. Krzyzanowski J. 26. Lasicki I. 80. Olejarka D. 7. Sapala I. 23. Sobczak S. 43. Szot D.
Coaches
Feio G.	Sobolewski R.

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 11).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Wisła will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Motor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Motor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Motor Lublin
Polish Division 1
17.09.23	GKS Tychy - Motor Lublin	2:0 ✺
03.09.23	Motor Lublin - Stal Rzeszów	3:2 ✺
26.08.23	Polonia Warsaw - Motor Lublin	0:1 ✺
19.08.23	Motor Lublin - Górnik Łęczna	0:1 ✺
13.08.23	Termalica Nieciecza - Motor Lublin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 LWWLW
- Wisła Kraków
Polish Division 1
16.09.23	Wisła Kraków - Chrobry Głogów	1:1 ✺
01.09.23	Miedź Legnica - Wisła Kraków	1:1 ✺
27.08.23	Wisła Kraków - Arka Gdynia	5:1 ✺
18.08.23	Wisła Kraków - Odra Opole	1:3 ✺
12.08.23	GKS Tychy - Wisła Kraków	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Cup
09.11.22	Motor Lublin - Wisła Kraków	1:0

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