Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 6

Date: 26 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadion Polonii (Warsaw)

Referee: Karski L. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport News


	Polonia Warsaw		Motor Lublin

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.2	2.5
	2.4	3.6	2.6
	2.66	3.44	2.65
	2.5	3.1	2.55
	2.57	3.38	2.56
	2.5	3.3	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.3)	3.34 ↑ (3)	2.59 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Warsaw
36.7%

Draw
27.7%

Motor Lublin
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

30%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

31%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Motor Lublin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

Polonia Warsaw - Motor Lublin Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Polonia will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Motor will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
57. Lemanowicz J. (G) 66. Kowalski-Haberek M. 2. Grudniewski M. 26. Kolodziejski M. 18. Pawlowski D. 16. Koton K. 20. Marciniec P. (C) 22. Biedrzycki B. 10. Bajdur M. 77. Michalski M. 11. Kobusinski S.	53. Budzilek L. (G) 17. Wojcik F. 4. Szarek P. 18. Najemski A. 24. Luberecki F. 22. Wojtkowski K. 73. Lis J. 68. Wolski B. 26. Krol M. 99. Spiewak K. 77. Ceglarz P. (C)
Substitutes
29. Fadecki W. 7. Kluska M. 21. Majsterek J. 6. Piatek J. 12. Sandach A. (G) 9. Tomczyk P. 27. Welna T. 8. Wojciechowski O. 37. Zawistowski N.	55. Gasior M. 11. Kaminski D. 47. Palacz K. 1. Rosa K. (G) 21. Rudol S. 7. Rybicki M. 20. Sedzikowski D. 15. Staszak J. 19. Welniak K.
Coaches
Smalec R.	Feio G.

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Recent matches Polonia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Motor is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Polonia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Polonia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Warsaw
Polish Division 1
19.08.23	Chrobry Głogów - Polonia Warsaw	0:3 ✺
14.08.23	Polonia Warsaw - Miedź Legnica	3:4 ✺
Polish Cup
10.08.23	Polonia Warsaw - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	3:2 ✺
Polish Division 1
07.08.23	Arka Gdynia - Polonia Warsaw	2:3 ✺
30.07.23	Polonia Warsaw - Wisła Kraków	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WLWWL
- Motor Lublin
Polish Division 1
19.08.23	Motor Lublin - Górnik Łęczna	0:1 ✺
13.08.23	Termalica Nieciecza - Motor Lublin	0:2 ✺
Polish Cup
09.08.23	Motor Lublin - Lech Poznań 2	1:0 ✺
Polish Division 1
06.08.23	Motor Lublin - GKS Katowice	1:1 ✺
28.07.23	Lechia Gdańsk - Motor Lublin	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.7 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
04.06.23	Polonia Warsaw - Motor Lublin	1:1
29.10.22	Motor Lublin - Polonia Warsaw	0:1

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