Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 21

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday


	Muleño		Santomera

	1	X	2
	2.58	3	2.58
	2.65	2.99	2.67
	2.62	3.03	2.67	Watch
	2.63	2.9	2.5
	2.6	3.33	2.6
	2.5	3.25	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.54)	3.08 ↓ (3.25)	2.59 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Muleño
35.2%

Draw
29.6%

Santomera
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

28.1%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

27.9%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Muleño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Santomera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muleño than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santomera than the current prediction. (+1%)

Muleño - Santomera Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Muleño (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Muleño (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Serrano A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', 2 - 0, Angel P. ⚽,
70', 3 - 0, Riquelme I. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Muleño has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Santomera has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Santomera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Muleño won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Santomera	5	4	1	0	11:6	5	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Muleño CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
01.02.26	Pulpileño - Muleño	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Muleño - Caravaca	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Águilas B - Muleño	2:2 ✺
11.01.26	Cieza - Muleño	4:1 ✺
04.01.26	Muleño - UCAM Murcia B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTTLT
- Santomera CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
01.02.26	Santomera - Caravaca	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Cieza - Santomera	5:0 ✺
18.01.26	Santomera - Bala Azul	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Santomera - Olímpico de Totana	2:2 ✺
04.01.26	Cartagena B - Santomera	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
28.09.25	Santomera - Muleño	0:0
30.03.25	Santomera - Muleño	0:3

Muleño - Santomera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide