Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 19

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday


	Cieza		Santomera

	1	X	2
	1.23	4.95	11
	1.22	5.27	10.43
	1.00	14.16	25.00	Watch
	1.22	5	11
	1.23	5	11.3
	1.22	5	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.31)	6.56 ↑ (4.5)	13.46 ↑ (9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cieza
78.8%

Draw
14.2%

Santomera
6.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.6%

20.3%

10.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72%

19.6%

9.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cieza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cieza's performance.

Santomera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cieza than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cieza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santomera than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Cieza - Santomera Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Lopez Moreno E. ⚽,
21', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', 3 - 0, ⚽,
58', 4 - 0, ⚽,
78', 5 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Cieza is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Santomera has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Cieza is the obvious favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cieza won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Cieza won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Santomera	5	4	1	0	11:6	5	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cieza
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
18.01.26	Caravaca - Cieza	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Cieza - Muleño	4:1 ✺
04.01.26	Bala Azul - Cieza	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Cieza - Olímpico de Totana	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Cartagena B - Cieza	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TWWWT
- Santomera CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
18.01.26	Santomera - Bala Azul	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Santomera - Olímpico de Totana	2:2 ✺
04.01.26	Cartagena B - Santomera	4:4 ✺
21.12.25	Santomera - Real Murcia B	0:4 ✺
13.12.25	Yeclano B - Santomera	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
13.09.25	Santomera - Cieza	1:2
10.05.25	Santomera - Cieza	1:1
12.01.25	Cieza - Santomera	1:5

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