Match Info

GUATEMALA: LIGA NACIONAL - CLAUSURA - ROUND 14

Date: 3 May 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera (Guatemala City)


	Municipal		Deportivo Iztapa

	1	X	2
	1.27	5	8.25
	1.3	4.6	6.75
	1.26	5.59	10.51
	1.26	5.45	9.2	Watch
	1.28	5.4	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.48)	5.21 ↑ (4.19)	8.62 ↑ (5.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Municipal
71.8%

Draw
17.6%

Deportivo Iztapa
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

21.9%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

21.5%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Municipal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Municipal's performance.

Deportivo Iztapa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Iztapa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Municipal than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Municipal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Iztapa than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Municipal - Deportivo Iztapa Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Municipal will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Deportivo Iztapa will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Municipal won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Municipal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Municipal is a favorite.

Last 24 head-to-head matches Municipal won 9 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 40-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Municipal won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 26-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSD Municipal
Guatemala Liga Nacional
29.04.23	Municipal - Antigua GFC	4:0 ✺
26.04.23	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Municipal	0:4 ✺
23.04.23	Cobán Imperial - Municipal	0:2 ✺
19.04.23	Municipal - Malacateco	2:1 ✺
16.04.23	Deportivo Xinabajul - Municipal	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWWWW
- Deportivo Iztapa
Guatemala Liga Nacional
30.04.23	Deportivo Iztapa - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	1:0 ✺
23.04.23	Deportivo Guastatoya - Deportivo Iztapa	1:1 ✺
19.04.23	Deportivo Iztapa - Comunicaciones	1:5 ✺
15.04.23	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Iztapa	5:2 ✺
09.04.23	Deportivo Iztapa - Cobán Imperial	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
01.02.23	Deportivo Iztapa - Municipal	2:2
09.10.22	Deportivo Iztapa - Municipal	3:2
07.08.22	Municipal - Deportivo Iztapa	1:0
30.04.22	Municipal - Deportivo Iztapa	3:1
27.02.22	Deportivo Iztapa - Municipal	2:1
23.10.21	Deportivo Iztapa - Municipal	1:0
14.08.21	Municipal - Deportivo Iztapa	2:2

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