Match Info

GUATEMALA: LIGA NACIONAL - CLAUSURA - ROUND 13

Date: 26 April 2023, Wednesday


	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa		Municipal

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.2	1.98
	3.4	3.05	2
	2.8	2.8	2.4
	3.62	3.24	2.05
	3.6	3.1	2.06
	3.35	3.25	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (2.93)	3.11 ↑ (2.85)	2.09 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa
27.2%

Draw
29.3%

Municipal
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

32%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

31.6%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Municipal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Municipal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Municipal than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Municipal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Municipal Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Santa Lucía will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Municipal will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santa Lucía won 1.

Santa Lucía is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Municipal is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Municipal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Santa Lucía won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Santa Lucía won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa
Guatemala Liga Nacional
23.04.23	Deportivo Achuapa - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	1:0 ✺
19.04.23	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Deportivo Guastatoya	2:1 ✺
15.04.23	Comunicaciones - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	3:1 ✺
08.04.23	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Antigua GFC	1:1 ✺
05.04.23	Cobán Imperial - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLTL
- CSD Municipal
Guatemala Liga Nacional
23.04.23	Cobán Imperial - Municipal	0:2 ✺
19.04.23	Municipal - Malacateco	2:1 ✺
16.04.23	Deportivo Xinabajul - Municipal	1:2 ✺
12.04.23	Municipal - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:0 ✺
08.04.23	Municipal - Deportivo Achuapa	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
28.01.23	Municipal - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	2:0
23.11.22	Municipal - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	2:0
11.09.22	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Municipal	1:0
12.03.22	Municipal - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	2:1
16.01.22	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Municipal	0:2
09.10.21	Municipal - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	1:1
07.08.21	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Municipal	1:1

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