Match Info

COSTA RICA: LIGA DE ASCENSO - CLAUSURA - ROUND 18

Date: 9 April 2023, Sunday


	Municipal Garabito		Carmelita

	1	X	2
	4.6	4.33	1.49
	5.4	4.2	1.4
	5.5	4.14	1.51
	5.45	4.25	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.24 ↓ (6.34)	4.23 ↓ (4.57)	1.48 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Municipal Garabito
17.3%

Draw
21.4%

Carmelita
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.5%

20.1%

65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.6%

18.7%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Municipal Garabito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Carmelita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Municipal Garabito than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carmelita than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Municipal Garabito - Carmelita Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Municipal Garabito won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Municipal Garabito could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Municipal Garabito have a series of home games.

In this match Carmelita is absolute favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Municipal Garabito won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Municipal Garabito won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Municipal Garabito
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
01.04.23	Jicaral - Municipal Garabito	3:1 ✺
26.03.23	Municipal Garabito - Liberia	1:3 ✺
18.03.23	Municipal Garabito - Cofutpa	1:0 ✺
10.03.23	Municipal Garabito - Puerto Golfito	2:1 ✺
04.03.23	Municipal Garabito - Quepos	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LLWWL
- Deportiva Carmelita
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
02.04.23	Carmelita - Cofutpa	3:1 ✺
25.03.23	Puerto Golfito - Carmelita	1:6 ✺
17.03.23	Carmelita - Quepos	0:3 ✺
11.03.23	Sarchi - Carmelita	1:0 ✺
03.03.23	Liberia - Carmelita	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
30.10.22	Carmelita - Municipal Garabito	3:0
10.09.22	Municipal Garabito - Carmelita	0:3
12.03.22	Municipal Garabito - Carmelita	2:3
30.01.22	Carmelita - Municipal Garabito	3:2
27.10.21	Carmelita - Municipal Garabito	1:1

Municipal Garabito - Carmelita: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide