The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Walter Ferretti 52.4%
Draw 25.3%
Municipal Jalapa 22.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44%
27.5%
28.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.5%
24.7%
31.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Walter Ferretti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Walter Ferretti's performance.
Municipal Jalapa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Municipal Jalapa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Walter Ferretti than the current prediction. (-12.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Walter Ferretti that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Municipal Jalapa than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Municipal Jalapa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
66.7%
0%
Walter Ferretti - Municipal Jalapa Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Walter Ferretti will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 8th and 10th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Walter Ferretti won 1.
Walter Ferretti is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Jalapa has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Walter Ferretti is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Walter Ferretti has recorded 10 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 32:24 (averaging 1.6:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Walter Ferretti against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 25:8 goals (averaging 2.5:0.8 per game).
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