Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 9

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Bellavista (Ambato)

Referee: Torres Cajax A. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Mushuc Runa		Técnico Universitario

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.6	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.35	Watch
	2.17	3.24	3.64
	2.1	3.3	3.52	Watch
	2.05	2.9	3.3
	2.1	3.2	3.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.83)	3.16 ↓ (3.26)	3.5 ↓ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mushuc Runa
44.2%

Draw
29.3%

Técnico Universitario
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

28.2%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

27.2%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mushuc Runa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mushuc Runa's form might have worsened.

Técnico Universitario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mushuc Runa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Técnico Universitario than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Técnico Universitario, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Mushuc Runa - Técnico Universitario Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Mushuc Runa will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Técnico Univ will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Formento R. (C) 26. Peralta K. 12. Carabali F. 2. Flor F. 33. Hernandez J. 99. Angulo C. 32. Orejuela C. 5. Davila E. 30. Ibarra R. 77. Velasco K. 9. Carrillo R.	1. Razzeto S. (G) 23. Mesa Mercado E. E. 85. Arce Y. 13. Anaya J. 27. Copete A. 28. Perea M. 10. Johan Bocanegra 70. Castano M. 33. Majao J. 9. Fernandez L. 7. Estupinan L. (C)
Substitutes
14. Caicedo E. 19. Carcelen J. 81. Castelli F. 11. Dibble N. 44. Gamboa M. 18. Gonzalez J. 10. Mina F. 7. Minda T. 6. Negro B. 42. Pabon W. (G) 8. Zambrano A.	30. Arce K. 11. Arteaga C. 16. Caicedo J. 99. Caicedo W. 67. Carrasco Bonilla M. A. 19. Castillo A. 15. Castillo F. 8. Chaves M. 53. Chilla R. 25. Delgado B. 12. Morales A. (G) 6. Torres Nazareno L. B.
Coaches
Velez P.	Usucar F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Mesa Mercado E. E. 🟨,
22', Formento R. 🟨,
22', Estupinan L. 🟨,
27', Davila E. 🟨,
30', Carrillo R. 🟨,
41', Angulo C. 🟨,
45+5', Anaya J. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Johan Bocanegra 🟨,
48', Peralta K. 🟨,
59', Fernandez L. ↓, Caicedo W. ↑,
62', Peralta K. ↓, Mina F. ↑,
62', Angulo C. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
62', Davila E. ↓, Gamboa M. ↑,
67', Ibarra R. ↓, Minda T. ↑,
68', Johan Bocanegra ↓, Castillo A. ↑,
76', Velasco K. ↓, Castelli F. ↑,
83', Estupinan L. ↓, Arce K. ↑,
83', Majao J. ↓, Chilla R. ↑,
90+1', Orejuela C. 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 0, Mina F. ⚽, Gonzalez J. (A),
90+6', Mina F. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mushuc Runa won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Mushuc Runa could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Mushuc Runa won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:21. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Mushuc Runa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.8:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mushuc Runa
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
11.04.26	Mushuc Runa - Manta	1:0 ✺
06.04.26	Libertad Loja - Mushuc Runa	2:2 ✺
22.03.26	Mushuc Runa - Emelec	2:0 ✺
19.03.26	Orense - Mushuc Runa	3:2 ✺
15.03.26	Mushuc Runa - Deportivo Macará	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTWLT
- Técnico Universitario
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
12.04.26	Técnico Universitario - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	0:2 ✺
05.04.26	Manta - Técnico Universitario	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Técnico Universitario - Independiente del Valle	1:2 ✺
19.03.26	SD Aucas - Técnico Universitario	0:1 ✺
13.03.26	Técnico Universitario - Libertad Loja	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
22.11.25	Mushuc Runa - Técnico Universitario	1:0
01.11.25	Técnico Universitario - Mushuc Runa	0:0
27.07.25	Mushuc Runa - Técnico Universitario	0:1
06.04.25	Técnico Universitario - Mushuc Runa	1:1
30.09.24	Técnico Universitario - Mushuc Runa	2:2
13.04.24	Mushuc Runa - Técnico Universitario	1:2
05.11.23	Mushuc Runa - Técnico Universitario	1:0

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