Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 23

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Jocay (Manta)

Referee: Andrade Arreaga J. C. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Manta		Mushuc Runa

	1	X	2
	2.57	3.10	2.70	Watch
	2.50	3.00	2.55
	2.70	3.25	2.45	Watch
	2.74	3.10	2.87
	2.7	3.11	2.7	Watch
	2.65	2.95	2.80
	2.62	3.10	2.74	Watch
	2.60	3.00	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (2.85)	3.08 ↓ (3.15)	2.68 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manta
35.2%

Draw
30.1%

Mushuc Runa
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

29.3%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

28.8%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Mushuc Runa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manta than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Manta - Mushuc Runa Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mushuc Runa will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chavez W. (C) 27. Troya J. 20. Chala J. 24. Moscarelli O. 31. Mina G. 55. Verges J. 70. Nazareno J. 5. Ramirez B. 23. Medina A. 10. Burbano R. 17. Angulo J.	25. Formento R. (C) 26. Peralta K. 4. Biojo R. 50. Cusme J. 33. Hernandez J. 99. Angulo C. 5. Davila E. 8. Zambrano A. 28. Perea M. 7. Minda T. 9. Carrillo R.
Substitutes
19. Alman J. 11. Asagidigbi F. 57. Burbano S. 33. Castillo A. 7. Chala W. 6. Jimenez J. 14. Mina J. 21. Ortiz M. 99. Pico E. (G) 52. Rialpe J. 8. Valencia M. 12. Zambrano F. (G)	61. Caicedo J. 12. Carabali F. 19. Corozo B. 2. Flor F. 18. Gonzalez J. 30. Ibarra R. 23. Lemos L. 37. Mancilla Quinones J. L. 52. Merino D. 10. Mina F. 42. Pabon W. (G)
Coaches
Carvajal Burgos J. E.	Velez P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Angulo C. ⚽, Zambrano A. (A),
7', 0 - 2, Carrillo R. ⚽, Angulo C. (A),
23', 1 - 2, Angulo J. ⚽, Ramirez B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Nazareno J. ↓, Chala W. ↑,
46', Verges J. ↓, Rialpe J. ↑,
66', Cusme J. 🟨,
67', Ramirez B. ↓, Valencia M. ↑,
67', Medina A. ↓, Alman J. ↑,
68', Angulo C. ↓, Lemos L. ↑,
80', Chala J. ↓, Asagidigbi F. ↑,
81', Perea M. ↓, Ibarra R. ↑,
81', Carrillo R. ↓, Caicedo J. ↑,
84', Cusme J. ↓, Carabali F. ↑,
84', Zambrano A. ↓, Corozo B. ↑,
88', Troya J. 🟨,
90', Rialpe J. 🟨,
90+3', Rialpe J. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manta won 2.

Manta is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Mushuc Runa has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Manta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Manta won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Manta won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 1.8:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manta FC
Ecuadorian Copa
29.07.26	Independiente del Valle - Manta	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
25.07.26	Técnico Universitario - Manta	1:0 ✺
22.07.26	Manta - LDU Quito	1:1 ✺
19.07.26	Guayaquil City - Manta	1:0 ✺
14.07.26	Manta - Delfín	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLTLL
- Mushuc Runa
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
27.07.26	Mushuc Runa - Libertad Loja	0:2 ✺
23.07.26	Emelec - Mushuc Runa	1:1 ✺
20.07.26	Mushuc Runa - Orense	2:1 ✺
14.07.26	Deportivo Macará - Mushuc Runa	2:1 ✺
11.07.26	Mushuc Runa - Independiente del Valle	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
11.04.26	Mushuc Runa - Manta	1:0
08.11.25	Manta - Mushuc Runa	3:0
25.10.25	Mushuc Runa - Manta	1:1
30.08.25	Mushuc Runa - Manta	2:0
10.05.25	Manta - Mushuc Runa	2:1
15.08.21	Manta - Mushuc Runa	0:0
14.03.21	Mushuc Runa - Manta	4:2

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