Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 22

Date: 13 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere (Oviedo)

Referee: De La Fuente Ramos O. (Esp)


	Real Oviedo		Amorebieta

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.8	5.75	Watch
	1.6	3.4	5.75
	1.62	3.5	6	Watch
	1.65	3.7	6.64
	1.64	3.7	6.64
	1.5	3.6	6.5
	1.64	3.62	5.81	Watch
	1.59	3.7	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.54)	3.63 ↓ (3.76)	6.11 ↓ (6.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Oviedo
58.6%

Draw
26%

Amorebieta
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

25%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

24.5%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Amorebieta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81%	19%	0%

Real Oviedo - Amorebieta Predictions

Users Predictions: Real Oviedo will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.15% – 97.75%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Roman L. (G) 24. Ahijado L. 35. Vazquez J. 21. Pomares C. 7. Viti 11. Colombatto S. 16. Seoane J. 17. Moyano F. 22. Dubasin J. 20. Masca 9. Baston B. (C)	30. Campos P. (G) 2. Mier J. 3. Etxeita X. (C) 28. Garreta F. 16. Lasure D. 7. Dorrio J. 20. Sibo K. 21. Carbonell A. 17. Rodriguez R. 10. Edwards R. 9. Jauregi E.
Substitutes
14. Alemao 1. Braat Q. (G) 8. Cazorla S. 18. de la Fuente P. 34. Gonzalez P. 6. Jimmy Suarez 30. Marco Esteban 25. Sanchez B. 28. Sese M.	24. Gaya J. 13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 1. Marino U. (G) 8. Moran E. 22. Morcillo J. 15. Nunez A. 27. Quintero L. 11. Seguin I.
Coaches
Carrion L.	Jandro

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Oviedo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Amorebieta is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Amorebieta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Oviedo is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Oviedo won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Oviedo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga2
21.12.23	Villarreal B - Real Oviedo	1:1 ✺
15.12.23	Real Oviedo - Elche	3:2 ✺
10.12.23	Racing Santander - Real Oviedo	2:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.12.23	Castellón - Real Oviedo	2:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
01.12.23	Real Oviedo - Espanyol	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWTLW
- SD Amorebieta
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.01.24	Amorebieta - Celta de Vigo	2:4 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
21.12.23	Amorebieta - Alcorcón	1:2 ✺
17.12.23	Amorebieta - Zaragoza	1:1 ✺
09.12.23	Valladolid - Amorebieta	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.12.23	Levante - Amorebieta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
21.10.23	Amorebieta - Real Oviedo	0:0
06.02.22	Amorebieta - Real Oviedo	1:1
20.11.21	Real Oviedo - Amorebieta	2:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.09.14	Real Oviedo - Amorebieta	4:0

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