Match Info

Date: 9 February 2020, Sunday


	Málaga		Numancia

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.9	4.1	Watch
	2.15	2.75	4.25
	2.15	2.7	4.4	Watch
	2.15	2.86	3.78
	2.26	2.82	4.12
	2.1	3.1	3.7
	2.21	2.89	4.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.1)	2.86 ↓ (3.06)	4.05 ↑ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Málaga
43.7%

Draw
33%

Numancia
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

30.9%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

23.3%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+15.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Málaga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Numancia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	57.5%	5%

Málaga - Numancia Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Málaga will win (votes: 15 - 37.5%). Numancia will win (votes: 2 - 5%). It will Tie (votes: 23 - 57.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 42.2% – 72.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga2
01.02.20	Elche - Málaga	2:0 ✺
26.01.20	Málaga - Mirandés	2:2 ✺
17.01.20	Fuenlabrada - Málaga	0:0 ✺
14.01.20	Málaga - Ponferradina	1:0 ✺
05.01.20	Real Oviedo - Málaga	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTTWT
- CD Numancia
Spanish LaLiga2
02.02.20	Numancia - Almería	1:1 ✺
25.01.20	Zaragoza - Numancia	1:0 ✺
18.01.20	Numancia - Sporting de Gijón	2:0 ✺
15.01.20	Alcorcón - Numancia	2:2 ✺
05.01.20	Numancia - Deportivo A Coruña	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
29.11.19	Numancia - Málaga	0:0
18.03.19	Numancia - Málaga	1:1
29.10.18	Málaga - Numancia	2:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.11.17	Málaga - Numancia	1:1
24.10.17	Numancia - Málaga	2:1

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