Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 33

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio La Rosaleda (Málaga)


	Málaga		Real Murcia

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.25	4.5
	1.68	3.1	4.8
	1.75	3.25	5
	1.76	3.23	5.33
	1.76	3.23	5.33
	1.72	3.33	5.03
	1.71	3.35	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.74)	3.25 ↓ (3.28)	4.94 ↑ (4.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Málaga
53.2%

Draw
28.2%

Real Murcia
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

27.9%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

29.9%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Real Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Málaga - Real Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herrero A. (G) 2. Gabilondo J. 20. Monte N. 5. Juande 14. Garcia V. 16. Rodriguez G. (C) 12. Molina M. 10. Larrubia D. 22. Lorenzo D. 11. Villodres K. 19. Fernandez Jaen R.	1. Garcia M. (G) 2. Ruiz J. 16. Rofino V. G. 4. Mauro M. 3. Baro M. 19. Carrion J. 26. Svidersky M. 5. Sisse F. 21. Pina Tomas 17. Vega D. 11. Carrillo J.
Substitutes
9. Aviles J. 17. Dioni 6. Enriquez R. 7. Ferreiro D. 8. Juanpe 13. Lopez C. (G) 15. Moussa D. 25. Murillo D. 35. Ochoa A. 3. Puga C. 18. Sanchez D. 23. Sangalli L.	9. Bouzaig A. 22. Coto E. 24. Gianni Cassaro (G) 7. Gomez I. 8. Larrea P. 14. Leon P. 15. Lopez A. 13. Piedra I. (G) 25. Rubio A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Mauro M. 🟨,
45+2', Pina Tomas 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rodriguez G. 🟨,
57', Svidersky M. ↓, Gomez I. ↑,
57', Carrion J. ↓, Buron L. ↑,
60', Rodriguez G. ↓, Ferreiro D. ↑,
60', Fernandez Jaen R. ↓, Dioni ↑,
60', Larrubia D. ↓, Enriquez R. ↑,
68', Pina Tomas ↓, Larrea P. ↑,
75', Molina M. ↓, Ochoa A. ↑,
80', Garcia M. 🟨,
82', Ferreiro D. 🟨,
84', Ferreiro D. 🟨,
84', 🟨,
86', Carrillo J. ↓, Bouzaig A. ↑,
86', Villodres K. ↓, Juanpe ↑,
88', Larrea P. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 8).

Málaga is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Murcia in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Málaga is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Málaga won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Málaga CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
14.04.24	Atlético Madrid B - Málaga	0:1 ✺
07.04.24	Málaga - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
31.03.24	Málaga - Linares Deportivo	1:1 ✺
23.03.24	Algeciras - Málaga	0:0 ✺
17.03.24	Málaga - Intercity	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTTTW
- Real Murcia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
14.04.24	Real Murcia - Melilla	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	Algeciras - Real Murcia	0:1 ✺
31.03.24	Real Murcia - Granada B	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Real Murcia	0:1 ✺
17.03.24	Real Murcia - Ibiza	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
26.11.23	Real Murcia - Málaga	1:4

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