Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 36

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Campo de Lasesarre (Barakaldo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Barakaldo		Mérida AD

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.4	4.5
	1.63	3.6	4.4
	1.58	3.8	5.3
	1.65	3.7	4.96
	1.65	3.64	5.29	Watch
	1.62	3.4	4.6
	1.62	3.52	5.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.59)	3.58 ↓ (3.67)	4.87 ↓ (5.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barakaldo
55.9%

Draw
25.4%

Mérida AD
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

24.8%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

23.8%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Barakaldo - Mérida AD Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mérida AD (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Campos G. (G) 7. Pedernales I. 18. Arana M. 4. Dufur U. 16. Lopez O. 20. Mandiang S. 15. Castillo I. 8. Huidobro J. 11. Perez E. 10. Sabin 19. Galarza A.	1. Csenterics A. (G) 20. Jacobo R. 4. Pareja L. 3. Lancho J. 23. Verges E. 16. Capitas M. 17. Herranz Corral V. 8. Solar M. 21. Beneit R. 9. Hallsson S. 7. Chiqui
Substitutes
23. Albizua U. 12. Cabo J. 2. de Jesus B. 17. de Leon J. 3. Garcia B. 1. Ispizua I. (G) 14. Munoz I. 6. Naveira U. 21. Pena A. 24. Ropero I. 22. Torra M. 9. Valino A.	13. Cacharron P. (G) 18. Dibrani B. 14. El Ftouhi S. 6. Geovanny 26. Gil A. (G) 12. Gomes R. 15. Martinez G. 24. Pereira R. 19. Pipe 22. Rivas M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Capitas M. ↓, Dibrani B. ↑,
32', 1 - 0, Arana M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Lancho J. 🟨,
69', Chiqui ↓, Geovanny ↑,
69', Hallsson S. ↓, El Ftouhi S. ↑,
69', Sabin ↓, Naveira U. ↑,
73', 2 - 0, Huidobro J. ⚽,
77', Lancho J. ↓, Pereira R. ↑,
77', Herranz Corral V. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
78', Mandiang S. ↓, Valino A. ↑,
78', Galarza A. ↓, de Jesus B. ↑,
78', Dufur U. ↓, Ropero I. ↑,
85', Perez E. ↓, Munoz I. ↑,
90', El Ftouhi S. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 and 10).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Barakaldo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Barakaldo is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Barakaldo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	AD Merida	6	2	0	4	9:11	-2	6
16	Barakaldo	6	1	3	2	6:9	-3	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barakaldo CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.05.26	Tenerife - Barakaldo	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Barakaldo - Lugo	3:0 ✺
19.04.26	Ponferradina - Barakaldo	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Barakaldo - Arenteiro	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Pontevedra - Barakaldo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LWLTL
- Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
03.05.26	Mérida AD - Lugo	0:2 ✺
24.04.26	Arenas Club de Getxo - Mérida AD	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Arenteiro - Mérida AD	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Mérida AD - Tenerife	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Ponferradina - Mérida AD	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
30.08.25	Mérida AD - Barakaldo	1:0

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