The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mérida AD 39.7%
Draw 29.3%
Unionistas de Salamanca 31%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.1%
28.5%
34.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.2%
27.8%
35.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Unionistas de Salamanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unionistas de Salamanca than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Mérida AD - Unionistas de Salamanca Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Cacharron P. (G) 20. Jacobo R. 4. Pareja L. 3. Lancho J. 23. Verges E. 8. Solar M. 17. Herranz Corral V. 11. Areso J. 18. Dibrani B. 21. Beneit R. 9. Hallsson S.
13. Suarez Coronas Lastra M. (G) 2. Olmedo V. 3. Gorjon A. 5. Farru 17. Errahaly M. 20. Encuentra J. 11. Gomez A. 6. Juanje 8. Lopez J. 15. Chibozo A. 23. Pinan A.
Substitutes
30. Carvajal D. 7. Chiqui 1. Csenterics A. (G) 5. Dominguez J. 10. Doncel C. 14. El Ftouhi S. 6. Geovanny 26. Gil A. (G) 12. Gomes R. 28. Martinez M. 24. Pereira R. 19. Pipe 22. Rivas M.
12. Artola J. 7. Arvelo A. 1. Carrasco S. (G) 10. de la Nava C. 22. Lendinez J. 24. Masllorens J. 4. Mayor R. 16. Murria V. 19. Prada R. 14. Saidi A. 9. Serpeta
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
11', Verges E. 🟨,
14', Farru 🟨,
35', Areso J. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Dibrani B. ⚽,
40', Jacobo R. 🟨,
45', Lancho J. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Gomez A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', 🟨,
67', Farru ↓, Murria V. ↑,
67', Juanje ↓, Masllorens J. ↑,
67', Chibozo A. ↓, de la Nava C. ↑,
76', Lopez J. ↓, Lendinez J. ↑,
83', Errahaly M. ↓, Serpeta ↑,
90+5', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 8).
Mérida AD is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Unionistas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Mérida AD may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Mérida AD could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mérida AD won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Mérida AD won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.