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Current Win Probability
Mérida AD 51.8%
Draw 27.5%
Arenas Club de Getxo 20.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.7%
28.1%
29.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.1%
27.7%
29.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mérida AD's performance.
Arenas Club de Getxo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arenas Club de Getxo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mérida AD that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenas Club de Getxo than the current prediction. (+9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arenas Club de Getxo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mérida AD - Arenas Club de Getxo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Csenterics A. (G) 3. Lancho J. 15. Martinez G. 23. Verges E. 19. Pipe 8. Solar M. 21. Beneit R. 10. Doncel C. 7. Chiqui 11. Areso J. 9. Garcia A.
1. Gastesi O. (G) 3. Herranz Jimenez G. 4. Alvarez P. 20. Zabaleta E. 21. Sillero J. (C) 19. Mutilva C. 8. Zabala M. 18. Honrado A. 15. Diocou B. 22. Mattheus C. 9. Vazquez A.
Substitutes
14. Artola J. 13. Cacharron P. (G) 16. Capitas M. 18. Dibrani B. 5. Dominguez J. 12. Gomes R. 17. Herranz Corral V. 20. Jacobo R. 6. Miki 4. Pareja L. 24. Pereira R. 22. Rivas M.
24. Boriko S. 10. Hidalgo A. 12. Lartitegi J. 14. Messina F. 13. Pena A. (G) 17. Rodriguez J. L. 23. Sustatxa A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
2', Diocou B. 🟨,
16', 1 - 0, Garcia A. ⚽, Pipe (A),
22', 2 - 0, Lancho J. ⚽, Doncel C. (A),
40', Herranz Jimenez G. 🟨,
45+7', 🟨,
45+9', 3 - 0, Doncel C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Herranz Jimenez G. ↓, Sustatxa A. ↑,
46', Honrado A. ↓, Rodriguez J. L. ↑,
46', Zabaleta E. ↓, Boriko S. ↑,
46', Doncel C. ↓, Artola J. ↑,
46', Beneit R. ↓, Capitas M. ↑,
54', 🟨,
55', 🟨,
55', Diocou B. 🟨,
59', 🟨,
62', Vazquez A. ↓, Messina F. ↑,
67', Chiqui ↓, Miki ↑,
67', Garcia A. ↓, Pereira R. ↑,
73', Alvarez P. ↓, Lartitegi J. ↑,
78', Areso J. ↓, Jacobo R. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 11).
Recent form of Mérida AD has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Arenas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Arenas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Mérida AD will hold a modest advantage in this match.
Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
Spain
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Csenterics A. (G) 
Lancho J. 
Dibrani B. 
Gomes R. 
Boriko S. 
Messina F. 
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