Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 23

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Alfredo di Stéfano Stadium (Madrid)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV, Real Madrid TV


	Real Madrid Castilla		Atlético Sanluqueño

	1	X	2
	1.48	4	5.25
	1.47	3.9	5.5
	1.51	3.75	5.4
	1.47	4.1	7.12
	1.49	3.9	6.22	Watch
	1.54	4.17	5.48
	1.51	3.75	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.69)	3.94 ↑ (3.58)	5.77 ↑ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid Castilla
61%

Draw
23.2%

Atlético Sanluqueño
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

25.4%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

25%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Madrid Castilla's performance.

Atlético Sanluqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Sanluqueño might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Madrid Castilla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Sanluqueño than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Real Madrid Castilla - Atlético Sanluqueño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. de Luis M. (G) 22. Jimenez D. 15. Ribes K. 29. Rivas M. 23. Yusi 27. Fortuny P. 6. Andres C. 8. Angel M. 9. Munoz V. 7. Garcia G. 11. Alonso B.	1. Perez S. (G) 17. Pavon A. 24. Riera R. 20. Amoah I. 11. Guti A. 10. Vacas L. 14. El Arbaoui Y. 16. Cabrera J. 23. Soonsup-Bell J. 21. El Ftouhi S. 19. Rodriguez M.
Substitutes
38. Aguado D. 16. Antonio David 20. Campos A. 13. Fran (G) 4. Pujol E. 17. Ruiz D. 36. Yanez D. 19. Zuniga L.	30. Bouare G. 8. Carbonell P. 7. Colau 27. Csanad G. 15. Cuevas A. 2. Garcia A. 13. Garcia-Alejo R. (G) 26. Garcia D. 18. Kikin 29. Reygadas M. 28. Tega Udoh O. 9. Vazquez B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', Rodriguez M. ↓, Vazquez B. ↑,
62', 1 - 0, Garcia G. ⚽,
66', Soonsup-Bell J. ↓, Bouare G. ↑,
66', Vacas L. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
66', Guti A. ↓, Colau ↑,
74', Fortuny P. ↓, Campos A. ↑,
74', Alonso B. ↓, Pujol E. ↑,
80', 🟨,
80', Amoah I. ↓, Cuevas A. ↑,
82', 2 - 0, Garcia G. ⚽,
84', Angel M. ↓, Antonio David ↑,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Real Madrid Castilla is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Sanluqueño is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sanluqueño could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Real Madrid Castilla is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Madrid Castilla won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:9 (average 2:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Real Madrid Castilla won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
31.01.25	Algeciras - Real Madrid Castilla	1:4 ✺
26.01.25	Real Madrid Castilla - Villarreal B	2:2 ✺
17.01.25	Betis B - Real Madrid Castilla	1:3 ✺
11.01.25	Real Madrid Castilla - Alcoyano	2:0 ✺
22.12.24	Ceuta - Real Madrid Castilla	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WTWWL
- Atlético Sanluqueño
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
02.02.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Sevilla B	0:1 ✺
25.01.25	Fuenlabrada - Atlético Sanluqueño	2:2 ✺
18.01.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Yeclano Deportivo	1:0 ✺
11.01.25	Intercity - Atlético Sanluqueño	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
05.01.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Cádiz	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.09.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Real Madrid Castilla	2:2
20.01.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Real Madrid Castilla	2:1
15.10.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Atlético Sanluqueño	1:0
13.03.22	Real Madrid Castilla - Atlético Sanluqueño	5:2
24.10.21	Atlético Sanluqueño - Real Madrid Castilla	3:1

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