Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 9

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Reina Sofia (Salamanca) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Monterrubio Torres P. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Spain	18:45	Footballclub


	Unionistas de Salamanca		Athletic Bilbao B

	1	X	2
	2.90	3.20	2.20
	2.87	3.10	2.20
	2.85	3.25	2.18
	3.23	3.10	2.35
	2.8	3.37	2.41	Watch
	3.15	2.85	2.30
	3.08	2.90	2.29
	3.05	3.20	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.77)	3.12 ↓ (3.38)	2.27 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unionistas de Salamanca
30.5%

Draw
29.2%

Athletic Bilbao B
40.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.5%

27.5%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

27.9%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unionistas de Salamanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Athletic Bilbao B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unionistas de Salamanca than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Unionistas de Salamanca - Athletic Bilbao B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Daza A. (G) 2. Morer D. 3. Serrano M. 19. Mutilva C. 23. Caballo D. 24. Pastor G. 20. Casas A. 5. Luis Alcalde 22. Chatiliez W. 11. Gomez A. (C) 7. de Bustos H.	13. Santos M. (G) 18. Belategi D. 15. Larrea B. 4. Izagirre Cestona A. 28. El Arbaoui I. 6. Lete E. (C) 23. Sola J. 8. Perez A. 16. Sanchez S. 7. Huestamendia P. 19. Oyono I.
Substitutes
10. de la Nava C. 13. Emilio (G) 9. Ferrer P. 30. Hernando I. O. 32. Huguito 8. Lendinez J. 14. Marcelo A. 4. Mayor R. 31. Prados L. L. 21. Retu 16. Rivera G. 17. Saidi A.	11. Conde A. 32. Ellakuria E. 21. Garcia B. 1. Garcia S. (G) 9. Hierro A. 5. Monreal I. 17. Pecina A. 2. Perez D. 27. Zarandona T.
Coaches
Medina J.	Bittor Llopis

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Serrano M. 🟨,
21', Perez A. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Gomez A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 1 - 1, Lete E. ⚽, Oyono I. (A),
54', Oyono I. (Penalty Awarded),
61', Chatiliez W. ↓, Ferrer P. ↑,
66', Sanchez S. ↓, Garcia B. ↑,
68', Luis Alcalde 🟨,
70', Pastor G. ↓, Marcelo A. ↑,
72', 2 - 1, Ferrer P. ⚽, Gomez A. (A),
73', Huestamendia P. ↓, Conde A. ↑,
74', Oyono I. ↓, Hierro A. ↑,
80', Marcelo A. 🟨,
80', Morer D. ↓, Saidi A. ↑,
80', Mutilva C. ↓, Mayor R. ↑,
80', Lete E. ↓, Pecina A. ↑,
81', Luis Alcalde ↓, de la Nava C. ↑,
90+7', Serrano M. 🟨,

Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 18th in the Relegation and 6th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unionistas won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Unionistas has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:8 (averaging 1:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Unionistas against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 4:4 goals (averaging 1.3:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Ath Bilbao B	9	3	3	3	14:12	2	12
16	Unionistas	9	3	1	5	12:15	-3	10

Last Results with these Odds

Athletic Bilbao B - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 39.01%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unionistas de Salamanca
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.10.26	Ferrol - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:0 ✺
10.10.26	Cacereño - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:1 ✺
03.10.26	Unionistas de Salamanca - Leonesa	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Mirandés - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Unionistas de Salamanca - UD Ourense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTWLW
- Athletic Bilbao B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
18.10.26	Coria - Athletic Bilbao B	2:1 ✺
11.10.26	Athletic Bilbao B - Real Unión de Irun	0:0 ✺
04.10.26	Athletic Bilbao B - CD Extremadura	1:3 ✺
26.09.26	Arenas Club de Getxo - Athletic Bilbao B	0:3 ✺
20.09.26	Athletic Bilbao B - Deportivo A Coruña B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
26.04.26	Unionistas de Salamanca - Athletic Bilbao B	1:1
01.11.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Unionistas de Salamanca	0:0
10.05.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Unionistas de Salamanca	0:1
31.08.24	Unionistas de Salamanca - Athletic Bilbao B	3:2
06.03.22	Unionistas de Salamanca - Athletic Bilbao B	0:1
17.09.21	Athletic Bilbao B - Unionistas de Salamanca	0:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
16.11.19	Athletic Bilbao B - Unionistas de Salamanca	4:1

Unionistas de Salamanca - Athletic Bilbao B