Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 34

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Fadura (Getxo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Arenas Club de Getxo		Mérida AD

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.1	2.45
	2.68	3.15	2.48
	2.76	3.25	2.49
	2.85	2.98	2.61	Watch
	2.63	3	2.4
	2.68	3.04	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.59)	3.09 ↑ (3.09)	2.48 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arenas Club de Getxo
33.7%

Draw
29.5%

Mérida AD
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

29.6%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

29.7%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arenas Club de Getxo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenas Club de Getxo than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Arenas Club de Getxo - Mérida AD Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Pena A. (G) 8. Zabala M. 4. Alvarez P. (C) 5. Garcia P. 20. Zabaleta E. 22. Mattheus C. 16. Verde A. 10. Hidalgo A. 7. Collado U. 2. Vizcay T. 12. Lartitegi J.	1. Csenterics A. (G) 4. Pareja L. 5. Dominguez J. 3. Lancho J. 23. Verges E. 10. Doncel C. (C) 17. Herranz Corral V. 8. Solar M. 6. Geovanny 14. El Ftouhi S. 16. Capitas M.
Substitutes
25. Aragoneses S. (G) 27. Bazaga O. 24. Boriko S. 3. Fernandez Cozar M. 1. Gastesi O. (G) 6. Merino J. 19. Mutilva C. 17. Navarro S. 23. Sustatxa A. 11. Troncho A. 9. Vazquez A. 15. Viglo S.	11. Areso J. 21. Beneit R. 13. Cacharron P. (G) 7. Chiqui 18. Dibrani B. 26. Gil A. (G) 12. Gomes R. 9. Hallsson S. 20. Jacobo R. 24. Pereira R. 19. Pipe 22. Rivas M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Capitas M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', Zabala M. 🟨,
56', Geovanny 🟨,
57', Zabala M. ↓, Navarro S. ↑,
63', Capitas M. ↓, Dibrani B. ↑,
63', Geovanny ↓, Chiqui ↑,
67', 1 - 0, Lartitegi J. ⚽,
69', Mattheus C. ↓, Troncho A. ↑,
74', Herranz Corral V. ↓, Beneit R. ↑,
74', Pareja L. ↓, Jacobo R. ↑,
84', Doncel C. ↓, Hallsson S. ↑,
86', Vizcay T. ↓, Fernandez Cozar M. ↑,
86', Lartitegi J. ↓, Sustatxa A. ↑,
86', Hidalgo A. ↓, Bazaga O. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 0, Bazaga O. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 9).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Arenas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	AD Merida	6	2	0	4	9:11	-2	6
20	Arenas Getxo	6	0	2	4	4:14	-10	2

Last Results with these Odds

Arenas Club de Getxo - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 35.2%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Mérida AD - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 35.23%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arenas Club de Getxo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
18.04.26	Tenerife - Arenas Club de Getxo	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Arenas Club de Getxo - Celta de Vigo B	0:5 ✺
08.04.26	Arenas Club de Getxo - Pontevedra	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Arenteiro - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Arenas Club de Getxo - Real Avilés	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LLWWW
- Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
19.04.26	Arenteiro - Mérida AD	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Mérida AD - Tenerife	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Ponferradina - Mérida AD	4:1 ✺
28.03.26	Mérida AD - Ferrol	2:1 ✺
20.03.26	Athletic Bilbao B - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
05.10.25	Mérida AD - Arenas Club de Getxo	3:0

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