Match Info

MALTA: Challenge League - Promotion Group - Round 4

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun)


	Mġarr United		Valletta

	1	X	2
	6.25	4.6	1.36
	6.8	4.6	1.36	Watch
	6.52	4.34	1.35
	7.13	4.59	1.37	Watch
	8.3	4.65	1.31
	6.8	4.6	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.97 ↑ (6.69)	4.56 ↓ (4.92)	1.35 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mġarr United
13%

Draw
19.9%

Valletta
67.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.6%

18.5%

68%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.1%

17.8%

70.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mġarr United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Valletta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mġarr United than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valletta than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Mġarr United - Valletta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Debono J. (G) 27. Attard M. 23. Boakye S. 15. Borg A. (C) 4. Camilleri R. 29. Donsu K. 11. Gauci C. 5. Mijic L. 16. Okoh S. 2. Vukovic D. 14. Zammit C.	13. Frendo L. (G) 23. Attard A. 5. Cassar Z. 9. Ciolacu A. 15. Ewurum K. 14. Gauci C. 16. Jeferson Carioca 30. Lapira P. 28. MacKay S. 4. Micallef N. 10. Paiber B. (C)
Substitutes
7. Azzopardi K. 12. Chircop J. (G) 18. Ebisindor C. 8. Frendo K. 22. Galea Z. 6. Howland T. 24. Mifsud M. 3. Parnis J. 19. Zammit J.	1. Aquilina T. (G) 21. Azzopardi Conti K. 11. Azzopardi J. 17. Barbara Z. 2. Mushagalusa E. 18. Ohaka P. 27. Scicluna J. (G) 33. Scicluna J. 8. Zammit A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
27', Vukovic D. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Ewurum K. ⚽,
36', 0 - 2, Lapira P. ⚽,
43', Donsu K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jeferson Carioca ↓, Barbara Z. ↑,
46', Ewurum K. ↓, Zammit A. ↑,
46', Boakye S. ↓, Mifsud M. ↑,
46', Vukovic D. ↓, Ebisindor C. ↑,
46', Zammit C. ↓, Frendo K. ↑,
46', Gauci C. ↓, Howland T. ↑,
54', Lapira P. 🟨,
65', 1 - 2, Ebisindor C. ⚽,
67', Ciolacu A. (Pen),
69', Paiber B. ↓, Azzopardi J. ↑,
69', Lapira P. ↓, Azzopardi Conti K. ↑,
71', Attard M. ↓, Zammit J. ↑,
79', Ciolacu A. ↓, Ohaka P. ↑,
82', Okoh S. 🟨,
89', Attard A. 🟨,
90+3', Azzopardi Conti K. 🟨,

Preview

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Valletta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Valletta is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mġarr United won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mġarr United
Maltese Challenge League
02.03.25	Santa Lucia - Mġarr United	1:1 ✺
Maltese Challenge Cup
27.02.25	Mġarr United - Mtarfa	1:0 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
22.02.25	Mġarr United - Pietà Hotspurs	3:2 ✺
15.02.25	Mġarr United - Marsa	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Żurrieq - Mġarr United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWWTT
- Valletta FC
Maltese FA Trophy
05.03.25	Birkirkara - Valletta	3:1 ET ✺
Maltese Challenge League
01.03.25	Valletta - Tarxien Rainbows	3:0 ✺
23.02.25	Żurrieq - Valletta	1:5 ✺
15.02.25	Valletta - Swieqi United	2:0 ✺
09.02.25	Marsa - Valletta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
30.11.24	Valletta - Mġarr United	2:0

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