Match Info

BRAZIL: Copa do Nordeste - Round 3

Date: 12 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho (Recife)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Náutico Capibaribe		Juazeirense

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.6	6
	1.53	3.55	6
	1.55	3.5	6.4
	1.53	3.61	6.37	Watch
	1.55	3.4	6.5
	1.48	3.64	6.72
	1.53	3.55	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.51)	3.55 ↓ (3.65)	6.28 ↑ (6.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Náutico Capibaribe
59.7%

Draw
25.8%

Juazeirense
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

25%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

24.1%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Juazeirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juazeirense than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Náutico Capibaribe - Juazeirense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Muriel Becker (G) 2. Arnaldo 16. Felipe Santana 14. Odivan 23. Igor Fernandes 5. Igor Pereira 25. Sousa 8. Marco Antonio 20. Patrick Allan 15. Kayon 80. Bruno Mezenga (C)	1. Igor (G) 2. Breno 4. Wesley 5. Waguinho 23. Bruno 22. Filipe Trindade 8. Emerson Silva 21. Bino 11. Guilherme Silveira 7. Ceara 9. Marcos Adriel
Substitutes
18. Auremir 35. de Sousa Oliveira T. 10. Geovane 7. Helio Borges 13. Indio 27. Kauan Maranhao 17. Marcos Ytalo 34. Otusanya O. 38. Samuel 37. Vini 1. Wellerson R. (G) 22. Wenderson	20. Clebson 12. Jailson (G) 13. Junior Santos 15. Junior Santos 18. Patrick Carvalho 16. Tchagnao F. 3. Ze Romario

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Igor Fernandes ↓, Helio Borges ↑,
46', Arnaldo ↓, Marcos Ytalo ↑,
59', Kayon ↓, Samuel ↑,
62', Marcos Adriel ↓, Tchagnao F. ↑,
66', Waguinho ↓, Ze Romario ↑,
66', Emerson Silva ↓, Junior Santos ↑,
68', Helio Borges 🟨,
72', Patrick Allan ↓, Geovane ↑,
75', Filipe Trindade ↓, Clebson ↑,
75', Gutierrez L. ↓, Junior Santos ↑,
77', Bruno 🟨,
80', Sousa ↓, de Sousa Oliveira T. ↑,
84', Ze Romario 🟨,
89', Tchagnao F. 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,
90+6', Igor Pereira 🟥,

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 5 and 7).

Recent matches Náutico is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Juazeirense is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Náutico is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Náutico won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Náutico won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
09.02.25	Náutico Capibaribe - Afogados da Ingazeira	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
05.02.25	Confiança - Náutico Capibaribe	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
02.02.25	Retrô Brasil - Náutico Capibaribe	1:0 ✺
30.01.25	Náutico Capibaribe - Maguary	2:0 ✺
25.01.25	Náutico Capibaribe - Santa Cruz Recife	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLWW
- SD Juazeirense
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
09.02.25	Juazeirense - Atlético de Alagoinhas	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
05.02.25	Juazeirense - Bahia	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
02.02.25	Jacobina - Juazeirense	0:2 ✺
30.01.25	Juazeirense - Porto SC	0:2 ✺
26.01.25	Jacuipense - Juazeirense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
21.07.18	Náutico Capibaribe - Juazeirense	1:0
19.05.18	Juazeirense - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0

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