The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Náutico Capibaribe 51.5%
Draw 27.3%
Operário Ferroviario 21.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
45.1%
27.9%
27.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.3%
27.2%
26.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Náutico Capibaribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Náutico Capibaribe's performance.
Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Operário Ferroviario might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Náutico Capibaribe that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Operário Ferroviario could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Náutico will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +1 - Operário PR (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Operário PR (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Muriel Becker (G) 93. Reginaldo 34. Wanderson 3. Betao 23. Igor Fernandes 8. Wenderson 41. Samuel Felix 7. Vinicius 10. Jean Carlos (C) 24. Borasi B. 19. Kauan Maranhao
33. Vagner (G) 2. Mikael Doka 22. Cuenu J. 43. Joseph 6. Moraes 20. Vinicius Diniz 5. Indio 7. Torres A. 10. Boschilia (C) 77. Maxwell 99. Caio Dantas
Substitutes
5. Auremir 88. Caio 78. Danielzinho 72. Derek 55. Guruceaga G. (G) 46. Gustavo Henrique 13. Indio 22. Nunez P. 6. Ryan Carlos 28. Santana dos Santos E. L. 75. Silva H.
11. Aylon 21. Brenno Pereira 32. Charles Raphael 28. Dudu Mosconi 1. Elias Curzel (G) 27. Gabriel Feliciano 4. Klaus 16. Miranda 88. Neto Paraiba 30. Pedro Vilhena 14. Pereira H. 8. Zuluaga J.
Coaches
Helio dos Anjos
Luizinho Lopes
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Vinicius ⚽, Kauan Maranhao (A),
28', Boschilia 🟨,
45+1', Moraes ↓, Gabriel Feliciano ↑,
45+2', 1 - 1, Vinicius Diniz ⚽, Indio (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
57', Samuel Felix 🟨,
67', Kauan Maranhao ↓, Luiz Claudio ↑,
67', Borasi B. ↓, Derek ↑,
74', Maxwell ↓, Neto Paraiba ↑,
74', Indio ↓, Zuluaga J. ↑,
74', Caio Dantas ↓, Aylon ↑,
81', Aylon 🟨,
83', 2 - 1, Jean Carlos (Penalty Awarded),
84', Torres A. ↓, Pereira H. ↑,
87', Jean Carlos ↓, Danielzinho ↑,
87', Wenderson ↓, Nunez P. ↑,
88', 3 - 1, Danielzinho ⚽,
90', Igor Fernandes ↓, Gustavo Henrique ↑,
90+4', 3 - 2, Boschilia ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 3, Cuenu J. ⚽, Gabriel Feliciano (A),
90+7', Helio dos Anjos 🟥,
90+7', Moraes 🟨,
90+8', Nunez P. 🟨,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Náutico won 3.
Náutico is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Operário PR has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Náutico is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Náutico: Arnaldo
(Yellow Cards)
Luiz Felipe
(Injury)
Matheus Ribeiro
(Injury)
Paulo Sergio
(Injury)
There will not play in Operário PR: Matheus Trindade
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Operário PR: Pablo
(Inactive)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Náutico won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:8. (average 2.1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Náutico won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 2.3:0).
Brazil
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Muriel Becker (G) 
Borasi B. 
Cuenu J. 
Guruceaga G. (G) 
Pereira H. 
