The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Næsby 31.8%
Draw 25.3%
Holbæk 42.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
30.5%
23.7%
45.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.6%
23%
47.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Næsby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Holbæk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Næsby than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holbæk than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Næsby - Holbæk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
31', 1 - 0, ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+2', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 5th in the Promotion - 3rd Division (Promotion Group: ) and 1st in the Promotion - 3rd Division (Promotion Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Næsby won 2.
Næsby has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Holbæk is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Holbæk is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Næsby has recorded 6 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 34:32 (averaging 1.9:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Næsby against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with 19:17 goals (averaging 2.1:1.9 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Holbaek
13
9
2
2
32:19
13
29
6
Naesby
13
5
3
5
23:20
3
18
Last Results with these Odds
Holbæk - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 45.82%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
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