Match Info

3rd Division - Round 10

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: ALPI Arena Naesby (Odense)


	Næsby		Holbæk

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.4	2.15
	2.6	3.5	2.25
	2.71	3.61	2.27
	2.90	3.37	2.28	Watch
	2.6	3.48	2.29
	2.8	3.5	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.67)	3.48 ↑ (3.45)	2.23 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Næsby
33.3%

Draw
26%

Holbæk
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

26.4%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

26.1%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Næsby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Holbæk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Næsby than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holbæk than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Næsby - Holbæk Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, ⚽,
39', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 3rd Division (Promotion Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 3rd Division (Promotion Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Næsby won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Holbæk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Næsby won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:28. (average 1.9:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Næsby won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 2.1:2.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Holbæk - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.56%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Næsby BK
Danish 3 Division
27.09.25	FA 2000 - Næsby	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Næsby - Nykøbing	2:2 ✺
14.09.25	Brønshøj BK - Næsby	3:2 ✺
06.09.25	Næsby - Sundby	3:1 ✺
30.08.25	Hørsholm-Usserød - Næsby	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTLWT
- Holbæk B&I
Danish 3 Division
27.09.25	Holbæk - Odder	0:0 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
24.09.25	Holbæk - Vejle Boldklub Kolding	2:3 ✺
Danish 3 Division
20.09.25	Vanløse - Holbæk	1:3 ✺
14.09.25	Holbæk - FA 2000	1:2 ✺
06.09.25	Hørsholm-Usserød - Holbæk	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 3 Division
24.05.25	Holbæk - Næsby	2:2
03.05.25	Næsby - Holbæk	3:3
15.03.25	Holbæk - Næsby	0:0
21.09.24	Næsby - Holbæk	2:3
18.05.24	Næsby - Holbæk	3:2
27.04.24	Holbæk - Næsby	3:2
10.03.24	Næsby - Holbæk	0:3

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