Match Info

Date: 18 October 2021, Monday


	Nîmes		Ajaccio

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.9	3.1	Watch
	2.45	2.9	3.1
	2.55	2.8	3.1	Watch
	2.42	2.75	3.2
	2.52	2.93	3.39
	2.45	2.87	3.1
	2.52	2.84	3.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.2)	2.86 ↓ (3)	3.19 ↓ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Network on TV: beIN La Liga

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Current Win Probability

Nîmes
37.7%

Draw
32.8%

Ajaccio
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

31.2%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

21%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nîmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Ajaccio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nîmes than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nîmes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ajaccio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.3%	56.6%	15.1%

Nîmes - Ajaccio Predictions

Users Predictions: 53 users predict this event. Nîmes will win (votes: 15 - 28.3%). Ajaccio will win (votes: 8 - 15.1%). It will Tie (votes: 30 - 56.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 43.3% – 69.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion)).

Nîmes has the most likely position - 3 (12.16%), has project points - 59, has currently - 14, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a chance of promoted (21%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Ajaccio has the most likely position - 4 (8.43%), has project points - 55, has currently - 19, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a small chance of promoted (9%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Nîmes is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ajaccio is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Nîmes won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Nîmes won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nîmes Olympique
French Ligue 2
02.10.21	Auxerre - Nîmes	2:2 ✺
24.09.21	Nîmes - Le Havre	0:1 ✺
21.09.21	Paris FC - Nîmes	2:0 ✺
18.09.21	Nîmes - Amiens	3:3 ✺
11.09.21	Grenoble - Nîmes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLLTL
- AC Ajaccio
French Ligue 2
02.10.21	Ajaccio - Quevilly	0:1 ✺
25.09.21	Bastia - Ajaccio	2:0 ✺
21.09.21	Ajaccio - Niort	0:0 ✺
18.09.21	Rodez - Ajaccio	0:2 ✺
14.09.21	Ajaccio - Paris FC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
19.07.19	Nîmes - Ajaccio	2:2
French Ligue 2
02.02.18	Nîmes - Ajaccio	1:1
08.09.17	Ajaccio - Nîmes	1:4
12.05.17	Nîmes - Ajaccio	3:1
16.12.16	Ajaccio - Nîmes	1:2
02.02.16	Ajaccio - Nîmes	2:0
11.09.15	Nîmes - Ajaccio	0:0

Nîmes - Ajaccio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide