Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 31

Date: 15 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade des Antonins (Nîmes)

Referee: Buquet R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Nîmes		Le Havre

	1	X	2
	3.6	3	2.2	Watch
	3.4	3	2.25
	3.35	3.05	2.2
	3.77	3.01	2.3
	3.5	3	2.2
	3.6	3.14	2.17	Watch
	3.55	3.1	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↑ (3.41)	3.04 ↓ (3.09)	2.21 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nîmes
26.6%

Draw
30.9%

Le Havre
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

30.4%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

29.8%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nîmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nîmes than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	15.4%	69.2%

Nîmes - Le Havre Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Nîmes will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Le Havre will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Le Havre: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

Nîmes has the most likely position - 19 (21.5%), project points - 39, currently - 29, a good chance of relegated (63%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.

Le Havre has the most likely position - 1 (76.43%), project points - 75, currently - 61, not chance of relegated, a good chance of promoted (95%), a good chance of win league (76%).

This event has quality 34, big importance 81, match rating 57. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nîmes won 1.

Recent matches Nîmes is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Le Havre is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Le Havre will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Nîmes won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 17-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Nîmes won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nîmes Olympique
French Ligue 2
08.04.23	Amiens - Nîmes	1:0 ✺
01.04.23	Nîmes - Annecy	4:0 ✺
18.03.23	Bordeaux - Nîmes	1:0 ✺
11.03.23	Nîmes - Quevilly	2:0 ✺
04.03.23	Bastia - Nîmes	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLWL
- Le Havre AC
French Ligue 2
08.04.23	Le Havre - Guingamp	0:0 ✺
01.04.23	Pau - Le Havre	0:1 ✺
18.03.23	Le Havre - Saint-Étienne	2:2 ✺
13.03.23	Metz - Le Havre	1:1 ✺
04.03.23	Le Havre - Laval	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
13.01.23	Le Havre - Nîmes	3:1
12.03.22	Le Havre - Nîmes	0:1
24.09.21	Nîmes - Le Havre	0:1
French Coupe de la Ligue
19.12.18	Le Havre - Nîmes	2:1
French Ligue 2
27.01.18	Le Havre - Nîmes	2:1
25.08.17	Nîmes - Le Havre	1:0
French Coupe de la Ligue
08.08.17	Le Havre - Nîmes	5:4 penalties

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