Match Info

Date: 10 September 2022, Saturday

Location: Stade des Costières (Nîmes)

Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Nîmes		Bastia

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.1	2.45	Watch
	2.85	3	2.55
	2.9	2.9	2.6
	2.8	3	2.5
	3	3.03	2.71
	2.9	2.88	2.55	Watch
	2.94	2.95	2.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.45)	2.98 ↓ (3)	2.57 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nîmes
32.5%

Draw
31.3%

Bastia
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nîmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nîmes's form might have worsened.

Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bastia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nîmes than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nîmes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bastia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.7%	45.9%	24.3%

Nîmes - Bastia Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Nîmes will win (votes: 11 - 29.7%). Bastia will win (votes: 9 - 24.3%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 45.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.8% – 62%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 11).

Nîmes has the most likely position - 12 (7.26%), has project points - 48, has currently - 7, has a small chance of relegated (14%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Bastia has the most likely position - 16 (8.07%), has project points - 46, has currently - 9, has a chance of relegated (19%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 30, small importance 26, small match rating 28. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Both teams are now playing unstable.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Nîmes won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Nîmes won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nîmes Olympique
French Ligue 2
02.09.22	Valenciennes - Nîmes	3:2 ✺
30.08.22	Grenoble - Nîmes	3:2 ✺
27.08.22	Nîmes - Laval	1:0 ✺
20.08.22	Dijon - Nîmes	2:1 ✺
13.08.22	Nîmes - Rodez	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWLW
- SC Bastia
French Ligue 2
02.09.22	Bastia - Dijon	1:0 ✺
30.08.22	Saint-Étienne - Bastia	5:0 ✺
27.08.22	Bastia - Rodez	0:2 ✺
20.08.22	Amiens - Bastia	3:1 ✺
13.08.22	Bastia - Grenoble	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
16.07.22	Nîmes - Bastia	0:1
French Ligue 2
14.05.22	Nîmes - Bastia	0:2
24.07.21	Bastia - Nîmes	1:1

Nîmes - Bastia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide