Match Info

FRANCE: National - Round 31

Date: 29 April 2024, Monday

Location: Stade des Antonins (Nîmes)


	Nîmes		Red Star

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	2.85
	2.3	3.3	2.95
	2.42	3.26	3.04
	2.42	3.26	3.04
	2.2	3.2	2.9
	2.26	3.27	3	Watch
	2.32	3.15	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (3.41)	3.22 ↓ (3.35)	2.95 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nîmes
40.1%

Draw
28.6%

Red Star
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

27.6%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

27.2%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nîmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nîmes's performance.

Red Star has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Red Star might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nîmes than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nîmes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Red Star could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	45.5%	18.2%

Nîmes - Red Star Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Nîmes will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Red Star will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Paradowski T. (G) 15. Camara I. 21. Diallo N. 5. Diouf W. 6. Doukansy B. 28. Mbemba F. 9. Mbina O. 22. Mendy F. 14. Mexique J. 18. Picouleau M. 19. Sbai H.	16. Avognan W. (G) 27. Anani A. 17. Botella I. 11. Cisse K. 35. Doucoure R. 7. Durand D. 8. Eickmayer J. 5. Gozzi P. 3. Hachem R. 10. Ifnaoui M. 28. Kouagba L.
Substitutes
10. Doucoure M. 33. Khalid M. 32. Lemaangr A. 12. Sacko I. 11. Thoumin A.	29. Benali H. 30. Bonet P. (G) 26. Dembi F. J. 13. Doucoure F. 25. Ndoye C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Camara I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Anani A. ↓, Ndoye C. ↑,
46', Botella I. ↓, Benali H. ↑,
46', Ifnaoui M. ↓, Doucoure F. ↑,
57', Eickmayer J. ↓, Dembi F. J. ↑,
72', Mbemba F. ↓, Khalid M. ↑,
72', Picouleau M. ↓, Sacko I. ↑,
83', Mbina O. ↓, Doucoure M. ↑,
83', Doukansy B. ↓, Lemaangr A. ↑,
87', Camara I. ↓, Thoumin A. ↑,
90+2', Mendy F. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2).

Two teams are playing changeable.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nîmes won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Nîmes won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nîmes Olympique
French Ligue 3
19.04.24	Orleans - Nîmes	0:1 ✺
12.04.24	Nîmes - Versailles	0:1 ✺
05.04.24	Épinal - Nîmes	2:1 ✺
29.03.24	Dijon - Nîmes	1:1 ✺
22.03.24	Nîmes - Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLLTT
- Red Star FC 93
French Ligue 3
19.04.24	Red Star - Dijon	0:2 ✺
12.04.24	Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue - Red Star	0:2 ✺
05.04.24	Red Star - Niort	2:1 ✺
29.03.24	Cholet - Red Star	1:1 ✺
22.03.24	Red Star - Nancy	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
02.12.23	Red Star - Nîmes	2:0
French Ligue 2
10.03.17	Nîmes - Red Star	2:0
14.10.16	Red Star - Nîmes	3:3
27.02.16	Red Star - Nîmes	1:0
02.10.15	Nîmes - Red Star	1:1

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