Match Info

Meistriliiga - Round 25

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Hiiu Stadium (Tallinn)

Referee: Koppel K. (Est)

Where to Watch on TV:


Estonia	Jalgpall.ee, Soccernet TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Nõmme Kalju		Levadia Tallinn

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.20	1.47
	5.10	4.00	1.53
	6.19	4.58	1.50
	5.61	4.17	1.53	Watch
	6.10	4.50	1.44
	6.00	4.20	1.44	Watch
	5.40	4.20	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.66 ↑ (4.35)	4.26 ↑ (3.78)	1.48 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nõmme Kalju
16.3%

Draw
21.6%

Levadia Tallinn
62.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21%

24.2%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

25.7%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nõmme Kalju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Levadia Tallinn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Levadia Tallinn's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme Kalju than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levadia Tallinn than the current prediction. (-4%)

Nõmme Kalju - Levadia Tallinn Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perk H. (C) 46. Vukusic R. 50. Podholjuzin M. 5. Korre U. 4. Borolinstsikov A. 8. Musolitin O. 26. Siht R. 59. Vastsuk B. 21. Baptista T. 17. Lotar Eyang E. E. 10. Ivanov N.	99. Vallner K. (G) 23. Liivak F. 20. Nwankwo A. 4. Tammik T. 29. Saliste J. 6. Peetson R. (C) 36. Joao Pedro 21. Skvortsov M. 5. Roosnupp M. 10. Wendell 9. Kutateladze N.
Substitutes
30. Jabir I. 74. Jekimov F. 27. Mannilaan M. 22. Nikolajev A. 69. Pavlov M. (G) 88. Sotsugov D. 20. Tambedou M. 7. Tarassenkov D.	11. Ainsalu M. 18. Alexandre 1. Ani O. (G) 22. Bessala M. 35. Iboro V. 71. Kaua Davi 17. Kirss R. 7. Lehtmets G. 33. Otoo E. 19. Reis G.
Coaches
Andreev N.	Zahovaiko V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
23', Nwankwo A. 🟨,
29', Vastsuk B. ↓, Tambedou M. ↑,
38', 1 - 0, Lotar Eyang E. E. ⚽,
42', Musolitin O. 🟨,
45+2', 2 - 0, Ivanov N. ⚽, Lotar Eyang E. E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Tammik T. ↓, Iboro V. ↑,
50', 2 - 1, Wendell ⚽,
58', 2 - 2, Joao Pedro ⚽,
60', Kutateladze N. ↓, Otoo E. ↑,
63', Baptista T. ↓, Mannilaan M. ↑,
67', Ivanov N. 🟨,
68', Roosnupp M. 🟨,
74', Wendell ↓, Bessala M. ↑,
74', Skvortsov M. ↓, Ainsalu M. ↑,
77', Lotar Eyang E. E. ↓, Sotsugov D. ↑,
77', Borolinstsikov A. ↓, Nikolajev A. ↑,
85', Iboro V. 🟨,
88', Podholjuzin M. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 3, Otoo E. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nõmme Kalju won 2.

Nõmme Kalju has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Levadia is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Levadia is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nõmme Kalju won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 23:38. (average 1.2:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Nõmme Kalju won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 1.5:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Levadia	29	22	6	1	81:21	60	72
4	Kalju	29	15	5	9	52:27	25	50

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nõmme Kalju FC
Estonian Cup
26.08.26	Narva Trans - Nõmme Kalju	2:0 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga
22.08.26	Harju JK Laagri - Nõmme Kalju	1:0 ✺
16.08.26	Nõmme Kalju - Pärnu Vaprus	3:1 ✺
08.08.26	Narva Trans - Nõmme Kalju	0:2 ✺
02.08.26	Nõmme Kalju - Tammeka	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWWW
- Levadia Tallinn
Estonian Cup
26.08.26	Levadia Tallinn - Paide LM	4:1 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga
21.08.26	Levadia Tallinn - Narva Trans	4:0 ✺
16.08.26	Harju JK Laagri - Levadia Tallinn	1:2 ✺
09.08.26	Levadia Tallinn - Nõmme United	5:0 ✺
02.08.26	Pärnu Vaprus - Levadia Tallinn	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Meistriliiga
20.06.26	Levadia Tallinn - Nõmme Kalju	1:1
12.04.26	Nõmme Kalju - Levadia Tallinn	1:1
21.09.25	Nõmme Kalju - Levadia Tallinn	2:1
21.06.25	Levadia Tallinn - Nõmme Kalju	3:1
Estonian Cup
24.05.25	Nõmme Kalju - Levadia Tallinn	4:3 penalties
Estonian Meistriliiga
04.05.25	Nõmme Kalju - Levadia Tallinn	2:0
30.03.25	Levadia Tallinn - Nõmme Kalju	2:1

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