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Current Win Probability
Nõmme Kalju 39.8%
Draw 27.9%
Paide LM 32.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49%
25.3%
25.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.2%
25.4%
25.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nõmme Kalju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nõmme Kalju's form might have worsened.
Paide LM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paide LM's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme Kalju than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nõmme Kalju, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paide LM than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paide LM, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Nõmme Kalju - Paide LM Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Perk H. (C) 78. Mashchenko D. 20. Tambedou M. 50. Podholjuzin M. 46. Vukusic R. 59. Vastsuk B. 88. Sotsugov D. 26. Siht R. 10. Ivanov N. 22. Nikolajev A. 17. Lotar Eyang E. E.
99. Jarju E. (G) 7. Tur E. 27. Baranov N. 3. Victor Hugo 2. Lilander M. 6. Daniel Cabral 28. Hoim O. (C) 19. Luts S. 10. Miller M. 11. Sohna M. P. 30. Badamosi A.
Substitutes
21. Baptista T. 4. Borolinstsikov A. 30. Jabir I. 74. Jekimov F. 96. Kindel J. (G) 2. Lillemets J. 11. Orlov M. 14. Pihkva J. 7. Tarassenkov D.
4. Andrade 9. Anier H. 17. Cham P. A. 77. Luts D. 12. Meerits M. (G) 24. Nigula R. 8. Ojamaa H. 15. Ojamaa H. 20. Piht K. 21. Smirnov R. 16. Surogin A.
Coaches
Andreev N.
Kink T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Badamosi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Miller M. ↓, Luts D. ↑,
58', Luts S. ↓, Ojamaa H. ↑,
58', Badamosi A. ↓, Anier H. ↑,
61', Sotsugov D. ↓, Jabir I. ↑,
61', Ivanov N. ↓, Baptista T. ↑,
66', 1 - 0, Baptista T. ⚽, Vukusic R. (A),
68', Lotar Eyang E. E. ↓, Orlov M. ↑,
68', Nikolajev A. ↓, Tarassenkov D. ↑,
72', Daniel Cabral ↓, Piht K. ↑,
83', Orlov M. 🟨,
85', Baranov N. ↓, Andrade ↑,
87', 1 - 1, Piht K. ⚽, Anier H. (A),
89', Mashchenko D. 🟨,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 4)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nõmme Kalju won 0.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Paide may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Nõmme Kalju could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nõmme Kalju won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:30. (average 1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Nõmme Kalju won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.3:1.5).
Estonia
Finland
Watch
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Perk H. (C) 
Mashchenko D. 
Tambedou M. 
Vukusic R. 
Lotar Eyang E. E. 
Jarju E. (G) 
Victor Hugo 
Baptista T. 
Jabir I. 
Andreev N. 
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