Match Info

Esiliiga - Round 21

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Hiiu Stadium (Tallinn)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Nõmme Kalju U21		Maardu Linnameeskond

	1	X	2
	3.10	4.20	1.75
	2.80	3.85	1.92
	3.20	4.41	1.75
	3.24	4.49	1.78
	3.15	4.35	1.72
	3.24	4.70	1.83
	3.25	4.10	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.5)	4.3 ↑ (3.93)	1.79 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nõmme Kalju U21
28.7%

Draw
20.9%

Maardu Linnameeskond
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

22.7%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

22.2%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nõmme Kalju U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nõmme Kalju U21's form might have worsened.

Maardu Linnameeskond has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maardu Linnameeskond's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme Kalju U21 than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nõmme Kalju U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maardu Linnameeskond than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maardu Linnameeskond, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nõmme Kalju U21 - Maardu Linnameeskond Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Kouadio E. ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Tragon S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
58', 1 - 2, Volkov A. ⚽,
59', 1 - 3, Naydis N. ⚽,
74', 1 - 4, Kouadio E. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nõmme Kalju U21 won 1.

Nõmme Kalju U21 is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Maardu Linnameeskond is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Maardu Linnameeskond may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Nõmme Kalju U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:19. (average 1:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Nõmme Kalju U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Nomme Kalju U21	31	7	4	20	38:79	-41	25
10	Maardu	36	12	5	19	45:59	-14	41

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nõmme Kalju U21
Estonian Esiliiga
25.07.26	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Flora U21	0:5 ✺
18.07.26	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Levadia Tallinn U21	0:2 ✺
11.07.26	Viimsi JK - Nõmme Kalju U21	2:2 ✺
05.07.26	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Elva	2:2 ✺
21.06.26	Tallinna Kalev - Nõmme Kalju U21	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLTTL
- Maardu Linnameeskond
Estonian Esiliiga
18.07.26	Flora U21 - Maardu Linnameeskond	1:3 ✺
13.07.26	Maardu Linnameeskond - Tartu Welco	1:8 ✺
09.07.26	Maardu Linnameeskond - Flora U21	3:2 ✺
03.07.26	Tallinna Kalev - Maardu Linnameeskond	3:3 ✺
22.06.26	Maardu Linnameeskond - Viimsi JK	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.4 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
18.06.26	Maardu Linnameeskond - Nõmme Kalju U21	2:1
18.04.26	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Maardu Linnameeskond	3:2
06.10.18	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Maardu Linnameeskond	0:1
14.07.18	Maardu Linnameeskond - Nõmme Kalju U21	10:1
28.04.18	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Maardu Linnameeskond	1:2
17.03.18	Maardu Linnameeskond - Nõmme Kalju U21	2:0

Nõmme Kalju U21 - Maardu Linnameeskond: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide