Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 31

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Männiku Stadium (Tallinn)


	Nõmme United U21		Tallinna JK Legion

	1	X	2
	1.42	5.34	4.46
	1.57	4.55	4.14
	2.12	3.75	2.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (2.12)	4.55 ↑ (3.75)	3.72 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nõmme United U21
54.6%

Draw
20.4%

Tallinna JK Legion
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

23.6%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

21.4%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nõmme United U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nõmme United U21's performance.

Tallinna JK Legion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tallinna JK Legion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nõmme United U21 than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nõmme United U21 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallinna JK Legion than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tallinna JK Legion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nõmme United U21 - Tallinna JK Legion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Ortega R. (G) 11. Benjamin C. 16. Dacosta O. 59. Gusarov A. 25. Kabal G. 5. Kais J. 7. Leppik R. 58. Medvedev A. 80. Molder K. 79. Ossep L. 32. Piht K.	22. Martsukov I. (G) 7. Blinov A. 44. Borissov A. 4. Havier M. 10. Jakovenko A. 37. Kolodchuk M. 5. Maearu S. 30. Malosev M. 13. Pochekutov V. 9. Vassilenko D. 14. Visman L.
Substitutes
31. Kaspar A. 12. MIhelson S. 20. Polda P. (G) 19. Tiigiste R. 8. Valge A. 17. Zilmer K.	8. Klimakov J. M. 35. Panov V. 15. Sedjakin P. 23. Slavgorodski M. 1. Suhotski A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Vassilenko D. ⚽,
39', Malosev M. 🟨,
2nd Half (5 - 0)
49', 1 - 1, ⚽,
51', 2 - 1, ⚽,
55', 🟨,
58', 🟨,
63', 3 - 1, ⚽,
86', 4 - 1, ⚽,
90+3', 5 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Nõmme United U21 has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Legion is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Nõmme United U21 will win today's game, with odds of 2.12.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nõmme United U21 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Nõmme United U21 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nõmme United U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
28.09.25	Läänemaa Haapsalu - Nõmme United U21	1:5 ✺
23.09.25	Nõmme United U21 - Paide U21	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Tallinna JK Legion - Nõmme United U21	1:3 ✺
30.08.25	Nõmme United U21 - Tabasalu	6:0 ✺
24.08.25	Paide U21 - Nõmme United U21	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWWT
- Tallinna JK Legion
Estonian Esiliiga B
28.09.25	Tallinna JK Legion - Narva Trans U21	0:4 ✺
21.09.25	Jõhvi Phoenix - Tallinna JK Legion	6:1 ✺
18.09.25	Kuressaare U21 - Tallinna JK Legion	1:6 ✺
14.09.25	Tallinna JK Legion - Nõmme United U21	1:3 ✺
07.09.25	Tallinna JK Legion - Maardu Linnameeskond	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
14.09.25	Tallinna JK Legion - Nõmme United U21	1:3
14.06.25	Nõmme United U21 - Tallinna JK Legion	1:2
27.02.25	Tallinna JK Legion - Nõmme United U21	2:2

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