Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - Final

Date: 19 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Goffertstadion (Nijmegen)

Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	NEC Nijmegen		Bodø Glimt

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.6	2.3
	2.60	3.90	2.40
	2.7	3.5	2.32
	2.77	3.89	2.43
	2.72	3.91	2.36	Watch
	2.75	3.75	2.35
	2.78	3.89	2.45
	2.65	3.75	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.31)	3.77 ↑ (3.61)	2.38 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

NEC Nijmegen
35.1%

Draw
25.1%

Bodø Glimt
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

26.2%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

27.3%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NEC Nijmegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that NEC Nijmegen's form might have worsened.

Bodø Glimt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bodø Glimt's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for NEC Nijmegen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bodø Glimt than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bodø Glimt, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	27.5%	47.5%

NEC Nijmegen - Bodø Glimt Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Nijmegen will win (votes: 10 - 25%). Bodø Glimt will win (votes: 19 - 47.5%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 27.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bodø Glimt: 32% – 63%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bodø Glimt (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Bodø Glimt (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.37) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Bodø Glimt (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Crettaz G. (G) 2. Pereira B. 21. Storm T. 24. Fonville D. 7. Mor E. 6. Nejasmic D. 20. Lebreton N. 99. Bischoff C. 9. Chery T. (C) 10. Tadic D. 30. Linssen B.	12. Haikin N. (G) 20. Sjovold F. 4. Bjortuft O. L. (C) 5. Aleesami H. 15. Bjorkan F. 8. Auklend S. 7. Berg P. 19. Fet S. 11. Blomberg O. 9. Helmersen A. 10. Hauge J.
Substitutes
73. Bras G. 8. Hansen-Aaroen I. 66. Kabar A. 34. Kers K. 35. Monteiro J. 17. Nuytinck B. 5. Ouwejan T. 12. Polster N. (G) 14. Sierhuis K. 19. Tahaui A. 32. van Crooij V. 11. Willumsson W. T.	43. Andersen M. L. (G) 24. Bassi D. 17. Brynhildsen O. 31. Chooly H. 16. Kitolano J. 1. Lund J. (G) 25. Maatta I. 22. Mvuka Mugisha J. 2. Nielsen V. 14. Saltnes U. 32. Solhaug K.
Coaches
Schreuder D.	Knutsen K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
25', 0 - 1, Fet S. ⚽, Hauge J. (A),
43', Storm T. 🟨,
44', 0 - 2, Helmersen A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 0 - 3, Aleesami H. ⚽, Berg P. (A),
59', Hauge J. ↓, Brynhildsen O. ↑,
64', Brynhildsen O. 🟨,
68', Pereira B. ↓, Sierhuis K. ↑,
68', Linssen B. ↓, Monteiro J. ↑,
68', Mor E. ↓, Tahaui A. ↑,
76', Bjorkan F. ↓, Maatta I. ↑,
76', Blomberg O. ↓, Kitolano J. ↑,
82', Fonville D. ↓, Kabar A. ↑,
82', Chery T. ↓, Bras G. ↑,
85', 1 - 3, Bischoff C. ⚽, Tadic D. (A),
90+1', Monteiro J. 🟨,
90+2', Fet S. ↓, Nielsen V. ↑,
90+2', Auklend S. ↓, Mvuka Mugisha J. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Nijmegen has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bodø Glimt is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Nijmegen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Nijmegen: Moslih Y. (Injury) Ogawa K. (Head Injury) Ouaissa S. (Muscle Injury) Sandler P. (Injury) Schuurs P. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Bodø Glimt: Evjen H. (Knee Injury) Mikkelsen A. (Groin Injury) Sjong I. (Injury)

There are questionable in Bodø Glimt: Gundersen J. (Injury)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Outrights of UEFA Champions League for now

Bodo/Glimt: 0.44% Nijmegen: 0.07%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
36	Bodo/Glimt	1	0	0	1	0:5	-5	0

Last Results with these Odds

NEC Nijmegen - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 41.05%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NEC Nijmegen
Dutch Eredivisie
15.08.26	Willem II - NEC Nijmegen	1:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League
11.08.26	NEC Nijmegen - Olympiacos Piraeus	2:1 AET ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
08.08.26	NEC Nijmegen - Telstar	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.08.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - NEC Nijmegen	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.26	NEC Nijmegen - Sevilla	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWLTL
- Bodø Glimt
UEFA Champions League
11.08.26	Bodø Glimt - Saint-Gilloise	3:2 AET ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
08.08.26	Vålerenga - Bodø Glimt	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.08.26	Saint-Gilloise - Bodø Glimt	3:3 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
31.07.26	Bodø Glimt - Lillestrøm SK	4:0 ✺
26.07.26	Sandefjord - Bodø Glimt	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWTWW

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